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Point-forecast accuracy (MAPE, %) for deaths per horizon.
| Rounds | Horizon |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 1 to 4 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 8.9 | 14.2 | 21.6 | 30.6 | 39.7 | 50.4 | 62.7 |
| 5 to 8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 9.2 | 10.9 | 14.9 | 19.2 | 23.5 |
| 9 to 12 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Average | 2.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 11.0 | 14.8 | 19.4 | 24.6 | 30.5 |
