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. 2020 Oct 2;143(11):3318–3330. doi: 10.1093/brain/awaa275

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© The Author(s) (2020). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Guarantors of Brain.

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com

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Receiver operating characteristic curves with AUC values based on the predictions from the logistic regression models using leave-one-out cross validation. (A) The logistic regression model for the whole multiple sclerosis cohort (n = 69) predicted correctly progression in 11/20 patients (sensitivity = 55%) and no progression in 44/49 patients (specificity = 90%). (B) The logistic regression model for the cohort without any relapses (n = 51) predicted correctly progression in 6/11 patients (sensitivity = 55%) and no progression in 38/40 patients (specificity = 95%).