Table 5. Results of the 5 Hypothetical RVVs Used in the RVV Selection Model (TSE-Pilot) in Thailand, Against the ACIP and NLEM Criteria .
Criteria | Outputs From RVV Selection Model (TSE-Pilot) | Scoring | ||||
RVV-1 | RVV-2 | RVV-3 | RVV-4 | RVV-5 | ||
Criteria by ACIP | ||||||
1. Disease prevalence (size of population affected) | 337 596 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
2.Disease burden (case fatality rate) | 0.02% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
3.Vaccine effectiveness |
Total case averted No vaccine = 337 596 RVV-1 = 56 239 (16.7%) RVV-2 = 58 265 (17.3%) RVV-3 = 77 776 (23.0%) RVV-4 = 114 295 (33.9%) RVV-5 = 80 984 (24.0%) |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4.Vaccine safety |
Incidence of intussusception cases (1-7 days risk period), per 100 000 per year RVV-1 = 19 (0.02%) RVV-2 = 11 (0.01%) RVV-3 = 4 (0.004%) RVV-4 = 3 (0.003%) RVV-5 = 5 (0.005%) |
4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
5. Budget impact |
5-year budget impact (THB) RVV-1 = 1033 million RVV-2 = 325 million RVV-3 = 105 million RVV-4 = 2236 million RVV-5 = 1651 million |
2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
6. Vaccine production in country | NA | Hypothetical RVV | ||||
Total scores (out of 25) | 13 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 13 | |
NLEM’s Additional Criteria to ACIP a | ||||||
1. Cost-effectiveness analysis |
ICER, compared to ‘No vaccine’ scenario (THB per DALY loss averted) RVV-1 = 242 000 THB RVV-2 = 63 500 THB RVV-3 = 12 000 THB RVV-4 = 232 300 THB RVV-5 = 242 200 THB |
Dominated | Dominated | 12 000 | 699 900 (compared to RRV-3) | Dominated |
2. Budget impact |
5-year budget impact (THB) RVV-1 = 1033 million RVV-2 = 325 million RVV-3 = 105 million RVV-4 = 2236 million RVV-5 = 1651 million |
1033 million | 325 million | 105 million | 2236 million | 1651 million |
3. Equity across health problems | NA | Hypothetical RVV |
Abbreviations: ACIP, Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; NA, not applicable; NLEM, National List of Essential Medicines; RVV, rotavirus vaccine; THB, Thai Baht; TSE, Total System Effectiveness; DALY, disability-adjusted life year.
aNLEM applies ‘choose one policy,’ it does not generate ranks for all the vaccine products.