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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Coll Surg. 2020 Jan 16;230(4):417–425. doi: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2019.12.011

Table 2:

Bayesian Multivariable Analysis of Arrival Perfusion and Primary Outcome

Young (<55 years) Elderly (≥55 years)
Relative Odds of Mortality or Major Complication (95% Credible Interval) Posterior Probability* Relative Odds of Mortality or Major Complication (95% Credible Interval) Posterior Probability*
Compared to Normal Perfusion OH 2.26 (1.68–3.05) >99% 1.65 (1.33–2.02) >99%
Shock 4.54 (3.42–5.95) >99% 1.36 (1.06–1.73) >99%
Compared to Shock Normal 0.22 (0.16–0.29) <1% 0.73 (0.57–0.93) <1%
OH 0.52 (0.42–0.65) <1% 1.21 (0.97–1.52) 96%
*

Posterior probability that arrival perfusion state is associated with increased mortality or major complication