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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Coll Surg. 2020 Jan 16;230(4):417–425. doi: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2019.12.011

Table 3:

Bayesian Multivariable Analyses of Arrival Perfusion and Secondary Outcomes

Young (<55 years) Elderly (≥55 years)
Relative Odds of Mortality or Major Complication (95% Credible Interval) Posterior Probability* Relative Odds of Mortality or Major Complication (95% Credible Interval) Posterior Probability*
Unplanned ICU Admission 0.87 (0.49–1.45) 26% 1.55 (0.80–3.04) 90%
Unplanned Intubation 0.69 (0.35–1.41) 15% 1.36 (0.67–2.77) 81%
Unplanned Return to OR 0.49 (0.26–0.88) <1% 1.32 (0.56–3.10) 74%
Acute Renal Failure 0.43 (0.22–0.80) <1% 1.39 (0.70–2.80) 83%
Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome 0.82 (0.36–1.77) 30% 1.18 (0.46–2.96) 64%
Cardiac Arrest 0.53 (0.26–1.05) 3% 0.71 (0.35–1.39) 16%
Any Major Complication 0.47 (0.33–0.66) <1% 1.47 (0.93–2.36) 95%
Unfavorable Discharge Disposition 0.89 (0.77–1.04) 7% 0.95 (0.84–1.08) 20%
Mortality 0.59 (0.44–0.79) <1% 1.14 (0.87–1.48) 81%
*

Posterior probability that OH is associated with increased outcome, when compared to shock