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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Apr 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Coll Surg. 2020 Jan 16;230(4):417–425. doi: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2019.12.011

Table 4:

Sensitivity Analysis after Reclassification of Shock to Require BE <−2

Young (<55 years) Elderly (≥55 years)
Odds Ratio for Mortality or Major Complication (95% Credible Interval) Posterior Probability* Odds Ratio for Mortality or Major Complication (95% Credible Interval) Posterior Probability*
Compared to Normal Perfusion OH 1.87 (1.42–2.42) >99% 1.61 (1.31–1.95) >99%
Shock 4.19 (3.25–5.34) >99% 1.46 (1.11–1.87) >99%
Compared to Shock Normal 0.24 (0.18–0.31) <1% 0.68 (0.53–0.89) <1%
OH 0.47 (0.37–0.59) <1% 1.11 (0.86–1.43) 77%
*

Posterior probability that arrival perfusion state is associated with increased mortality or major complication