Table 2. COVID-19 daily cases—univariable analysis [OR (95%CI)].
| SINDH | PUNJAB | KPK | BALOCHISTAN | ISBD | GILGIT | AZK | |
| Wind | 1.11 (1.06, 1.15) |
1.04 (1.00, 1.07) |
1.04 (1.01, 1.07) |
1.01 (0.99, 1.03) |
1.01 (0.99, 1.04) |
1.01 (0.93, 1.10) |
0.99 (0.95, 1.02) |
| Humidity | 1.03 (1.01, 1.04) |
0.98 (0.97, 0.99) |
0.96 (0.95, 0.97) |
0.98 (0.97, 0.99) |
0.98 (0.97, 0.99) |
0.99 (0.98, 1.00) |
0.97 (0.96, 0.98) |
| Temperature Daily Max | 1.59 (1.45, 1.74) |
1.20 (1.15, 1.24) |
1.18 (1.14, 1.21) |
1.12 (1.09, 1.15) |
1.22 (1.18, 1.26) |
1.05 (1.02, 1.08) |
1.19 (1.14, 1.23) |
| Temperature Daily min | 1.30 (1.26, 1.34) |
1.15 (1.12, 1.18) |
1.23 (1.19, 1.28) |
1.11 (1.08, 1.15) |
1.28 (1.24, 1.33) |
1.04 (1.01, 1.07) |
1.18 (1.14, 1.23) |
| Sunny Day (Sunny day; Ref = No) | 0.76 (0.49, 1.18) |
1.15 (0.71, 1.85) |
0.54 (0.37, 0.79) |
1.18 (0.74, 1.90) |
0.41 (0.29, 0.59) |
0.68 (0.47, 0.99) |
0.40 (0.28, 0.588) |
| Lock down stat (Ref = Lock down period) | 3.2 (2.12, 4.81) |
2.92 (1.94, 4.40) |
2.20 (1.46, 3.31) |
2.42 (1.60, 3.65) |
9.29, (6.13, 14.10) |
2.42 (1.57, 3.73) |
5.06 (3.15, 8.14) |
| Smart lock down stat (Ref = Lock down period) | 7.87 (4.77, 12.97) |
4.76 (2.89, 7.85) |
4.22 (2.55, 6.95) |
2.51 (1.51, 4.14) |
14.11 (8.50, 23.41) |
3.09 (1.83, 5.20) |
17.71 (10.19, 30.80) |
| Nationwide Events* | 0.74 (0.52, 1.06) |
1.12 (0.78, 1.61) |
1.00 (0.70, 1.44) |
1.72 (1.20, 2.47) |
1.53 (1.06, 2.19) |
1.08 (0.74, 1.57) |
0.80 (0.55, 1.16) |
| 10000/Daily Test | 10.28 (7.20, 14.68) |
8.43 (5.9, 12.04) |
6.88 (4.81, 9.84) |
6.58 (4.59, 9.44) |
26.46 (18.30, 38.25) |
2.81 (1.93, 4.08) |
16.64 (10.85, 25.53) |
| COVID-19 Daily Cases—Multivariable Analysis [OR (95%CI)] | |||||||
| SINDH | PUNJAB | KPK | BALOCHISTAN | ISBD | GILGIT | AZK | |
| Wind | 1.010 (0.969, 1.053) |
1.009 (0.980, 1.039) |
0.998 (0.968, 1.028) |
1.020 (0.999, 1.041) |
0.997 (0.973, 1.022) |
0.985 (0.904, 1.073) |
0.974 (0.939, 1.010) |
| Humidity | 0.996 (0.977, 1.015) |
1.001 (0.983, 1.019) |
1.010 (0.992, 1.028) |
1.004 (0.989, 1.019) |
1.015 (1.004, 1.026) |
1.001 (0.991, 1.011) |
0.999 (0.984, 1.014) |
| Temperature Daily Max | 1.075 (0.965, 1.197) |
1.044 (0.986, 1.106) |
1.009 (0.916, 1.106) |
1.017 (0.949, 1.090) |
1.068 (1.004, 1.136) |
1.027 (0.969, 1.089) |
1.011 (0.941, 1.085) |
| Temperature Daily min | 1.130 (1.040, 1.228) |
1.043 (0.989, 1.101) |
1.150 (1.040, 1.271) |
1.055 (0.996, 1.117) |
1.105 (1.032, 1.182) |
0.984 (0.925, 1.046) |
1.012 (0.942, 1.087) |
| Sunny Day (Sunny day; Ref = No) | 0.959 (0.587, 1.567) |
1.209 (0.720, 2.029) |
0.979 0.606, 1.58 |
0.780 (0.470, 1.296) |
1.047 (0.680, 1.612) |
1.154 (0.701, 1.900) |
0.976 (0.594, 1.604) |
| Lock down stat (Ref = Lock down period) | 1.025 (0.426, 2.465) |
0.611 (0.263, 1.421) |
0.401 0.169, 0.951 |
0.344 (0.198, 0.598) |
0.674 (0.352, 1.293) |
1.550 (0.882, 2.725) |
0.636 (0.273, 1.485) |
| Smart lock down stat (Ref = Lock down period) | 2.868 (0.624, 13.175) |
1.222 (0.240, 6.217) |
0.552 0.111, 2.751 |
0.180 (0.073, 0.446) |
0.754 (0.292, 1.949) |
1.608 (0.671, 3.851) |
3.243 (1.069, 9.843) |
| Nationwide Events* | 1.963 (0.844, 4.565) |
2.262 (0.991, 5.161) |
1.710 0.759, 3.855 |
1.010 (0.589, 1.733) |
1.761 (1.008, 3.079) |
1.025 (0.624, 1.684) |
2.803 (1.581, 4.969) |
| 10000/Daily Test | 3.273 (1.115, 9.609) |
5.548 (1.955, 15.74) |
4.9305 (1.622, 14.833) |
9.963 (4.049, 24.514) |
9.496 (3.644, 24.748) |
2.173 (1.031, 4.580) |
9.470 (3.473, 25.819) |
Note: * Includes both religious or nation-wide social event that required mass gatherings or when the SOP were potentially not strictly followed. KPK: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa; ISBD: Islamabad; GILGIT: Gilgit Baltistan; AZK: Azad Kashmir. The p-value for the model fit for each region (analysis) was <0.001.