Table 12.
Projections of cumulative COVID-19 deaths in the U.S
Forecast model | through May 30 | through June 6 | through August 4 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lower-bound | Mean | Upper-bound | Lower-bound | Mean | Upper-bound | Lower-bound | Mean | Upper-bound | |
Columbia U. (20% contact reduction) | 99,092 | 106,425 | 118,577 | 104,687 | 116,748 | 137,401 | |||
IHME | 102,712 | 111,473 | 127,868 | 106,827 | 119,799 | 145,148 | 113,182 | 147,040 | 226,971 |
MOBS | 79,920 | 100,454 | 125,306 | 84,361 | 106,665 | 141,957 | |||
LANL | 87,367 | 99,444 | 120,942 | 176,263 | 208,211 | 286,762 | |||
UT Austin | 101,581 | 105,682 | 111,358 | 104,192 | 109,728 | 117,743 | |||
YYG | 97,704 | 107,636 | 119,648 | 101,262 | 116,086 | 134,486 | 116,350 | 190,016 | 321,484 |
MIT | 109,508 | 111,885 | 114,262 | 117,638 | 120,192 | 122,746 | |||
UCLA | 97,128 | 104,724 | 113,246 | 101,204 | 110,695 | 121,476 | |||
GA Tech | 98,567 | 105,479 | 112,665 | 149,098 | 158,364 | 173,858 | |||
Average | 97,064 | 105,911 | 118,208 | 116,170 | 129,610 | 153,509 | 114,766 | 168,528 | 274,228 |
Source: CDC (2020d)