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. 2020 Dec 10;5(1):1–52. doi: 10.1007/s41885-020-00080-1

Table 12.

Projections of cumulative COVID-19 deaths in the U.S

Forecast model through May 30 through June 6 through August 4
Lower-bound Mean Upper-bound Lower-bound Mean Upper-bound Lower-bound Mean Upper-bound
Columbia U. (20% contact reduction) 99,092 106,425 118,577 104,687 116,748 137,401
IHME 102,712 111,473 127,868 106,827 119,799 145,148 113,182 147,040 226,971
MOBS 79,920 100,454 125,306 84,361 106,665 141,957
LANL 87,367 99,444 120,942 176,263 208,211 286,762
UT Austin 101,581 105,682 111,358 104,192 109,728 117,743
YYG 97,704 107,636 119,648 101,262 116,086 134,486 116,350 190,016 321,484
MIT 109,508 111,885 114,262 117,638 120,192 122,746
UCLA 97,128 104,724 113,246 101,204 110,695 121,476
GA Tech 98,567 105,479 112,665 149,098 158,364 173,858
Average 97,064 105,911 118,208 116,170 129,610 153,509 114,766 168,528 274,228

Source: CDC (2020d)