Table 2.

Production, demand and trade projections for sorghum and millets, Eastern and Southern Africa, 2015–2050 (000 t).

Variable	Sorghum			Millets
	Scenario: “Baseline”
,	2015	2025	2050	2015	2025	2050
Production	11,782	16,004	29,899	3177	4517	8961
Demand	12,008	15,634	26,307	3431	4445	7280
Net Trade	−1328	−731	2490	−254	72	1681
	Scenario: “Optimistic”
Production	11,405	15,101	27,036	3133	4383	8549
Demand	10,308	12,923	21,278	3500	4420	7186
Net Trade	−4	1077	4657	100	539	2236
	Scenario: “25% increase in yield growth rate of sorghum and millets”
Production	12,166	17,072	34,917	3312	4976	11,312
Demand	12,026	15,691	26,605	3435	4458	7347
Net Trade	−952	280	7211	−123	513	3965
	Scenario: “25% increase in yield growth rate of maize”
Production	11,896	16,124	29,775	3170	4497	8858
Demand	11,768	15,347	25,857	3431	4444	7274
Net Trade	−1379	−823	2086	−261	53	1584

Source: IMPACT Model. For individual countries see Orr et al. (2016): Table 6.1–6.7.

Note: ESA is defined following the FAOSTAT classification. Eastern Africa: Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Rwanda, Somalia, Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, while Southern Africa is defined as Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa, and Swaziland. This differs from the definition for ESA used by the IMPACT model (Orr et al., 2016, Appendix 1).