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. 2020 Nov 16;12:100688. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2020.100688

Table 2.

Spatial Durbin multivariable regression model assessing associations with district-level child marriage prevalence in India, 2015–16.

Direct marginal effects
 Indirect marginal effects
 Total marginal effects
Coefficient SE z-value p-value Coefficient SE z-value p-value Coefficient SE z-value p-value
Geography
Log distance to non-ocean state border (per 100 km) 0.170 0.200 0.804 0.421 −5.502 1.686 −3.259 0.001 −5.332 1.761 −3.028 0.002
Log density (population/km2) 1.363 0.289 4.755 <0.001 3.551 1.464 2.412 0.016 4.914 1.498 3.275 0.001
Log area (km2)
 1.735
 0.256
 6.699
 <0.001
 9.339
 2.338
 4.003
 <0.001
 11.075
 2.497
 4.436
 <0.001
Sociodemographics
Rural residents (%) −0.009 0.014 −0.579 0.562 −0.080 0.091 −0.808 0.419 −0.089 0.098 −0.829 0.407
SC/ST or OBC (%) −0.031 0.012 −2.455 0.014 −0.136 0.076 −1.830 0.067 −0.167 0.080 −2.106 0.035
Muslim (%) −0.023 0.017 −1.345 0.179 −0.093 0.092 −0.967 0.334 −0.116 0.097 −1.147 0.251
Female education (years) −0.596 0.157 −3.820 <0.001 −3.052 0.894 −3.473 0.001 −3.684 0.940 −3.941 <0.001
Female:male sex ratio at birth (per 1000) −0.004 0.003 −1.283 0.200 −0.003 0.027 −0.199 0.843 −0.007 0.029 −0.320 0.749
District-state differences in prevalence of child marriage (%)
 0.768
 0.019
 39.623
 <0.001
 −0.133
 0.151
 −0.931
 0.352
 −0.636
 0.161
 3.898
 <0.001
Media connectivity
Female weekly television use (%) −0.016 0.017 −0.949 0.343 −0.167 0.100 −1.692 0.091 −0.183 0.104 −1.781 0.075
Female weekly radio use (%) 0.022 0.026 0.790 0.429 0.037 0.164 0.249 0.803 0.059 0.169 0.364 0.716
Female weekly newspaper use (%) −0.120 0.022 −5.420 <0.001 −0.004 0.125 0.028 0.978 −0.124 0.130 −0.890 0.373
Female mobile phone access (%) −0.043 0.017 −2.537 0.011 0.181 0.107 1.677 0.094 0.139 0.113 1.207 0.227
Household has internet access (%)
 −0.011
 0.022
 −0.510
 0.610
 −0.114
 0.123
 −0.977
 0.329
 −0.125
 0.130
 −1.010
 0.312
Community connectivity
Female microcredit program awareness (%) 0.014 0.011 1.288 0.198 −0.077 0.075 −1.018 0.309 −0.062 0.081 −0.771 0.441
Female microcredit program utilization (%) 0.075 0.015 5.002 <0.001 0.163 0.118 1.419 0.156 0.237 0.126 1.919 0.055
Spatial effect
Rho (Spatial lag) 0.85 <0.001
Model fit statistics
AIC 3380.8
Nagelkerke pseudo R2 0.94
Log-likelihood −1655.38
Lagrange multiplier test (residuals' autocorrelation) 15.02 <0.001

Results show distributions based on 500 multivariable normal distribution simulations. Fit statistics (AIC, R2, log-likelihood, LM test) are for the entire model.