Table 2.

Transition Probabilities for Patients Receiving High-dose, Long-term Opioid Therapy (HLOT) at the Start of Each Fiscal Year Between 2014 and 2018

FY	HLOT	Non-HLOT	Discontinued	Death	Total
2014	35,921 (72%)	8935 (18%)	3128 (6.3%)	1724 (3.5%)	49,708
2015	31,479 (72%)	7967 (18%)	2992 (6.8%)	1484 (3.4%)	43,922
2016	26,604 (69%)	7693 (20%)	2786 (7.3%)	1225 (3.2%)	38,308
2017	20,051 (64%)	7638 (25%)	2460 (7.9%)	1026 (3.3%)	31,175
2018	14,732 (64%)	5747 (25%)	1798 (7.8%)	722 (3.1%)	22,999

Markov chain models were calculated for fiscal years (FY) 2014 through 2018. The proportion of patients who received high-dose, long-term opioid therapy (HLOT) at the beginning of the FY and stayed in HLOT, transitioned to non-HLOT, discontinued, or died were calculated for each FY and presented in the table above