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. 2020 Nov 13;148:e273. doi: 10.1017/S0950268820002769

Table 4.

COVID-19 risk scores and corresponding AUROCs

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Sick contact with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 case +10 points +2 points +3 points
Nursing Facility Residence +10 points +2 points +3 points
Obesity +3 points +1 point +1 point
Constitutional symptom (fever, chills, or myalgia) +2 points +1 point +1 point
Respiratory symptom (cough or shortness of breath) +4 points +1 point +1 point
Gastrointestinal symptom (nausea, vomiting, or diarrhoea) +4 points +1 point +1 point
Hypoxia on triage +4 points +1 point +1 point
Leucocytosis −3 points −1 point −1 point
Total points 37 points 9 points 11 points
AUROC (95% CI) Development cohort 0.87 (0.83–0.92) 0.87 (0.83–0.92) 0.87 (0.82–0.92)
Validation cohort 0.85 (0.78–0.92) 0.83 (0.76–0.90) 0.85 (0.78–0.92)