Table 2.
Association between breakpoints in disease growth dynamics (total number of cases and deaths) and thresholds of change in policy stringency and citizen mobility, reported in Spain and the two autonomous regions hosting its two largest cities (Madrid and Catalonia)
| Spain | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cases | Deaths | Stringency index | Mobility index | ||||||||||||
| % change | Detection date | Infection date | CI95%(days) | % change | Detection date | Infection date | CI95%(days) | Value | % change | Date | Day | Value | % change | Date | CI95%(days) |
| −42.3% | 13–14/03/2020 | 01–02/03/2020 | 61.4–61.7 | −40.7% | 15/03/2020 | 27/02/2020 | 57.6–58.8 | ||||||||
| −18.9% | 19/03/2020 | 07/03/2020 | 66.4–67.4 | −40.4% | 25/03/2020 | 08/03/2020 | 68.0–68.8 | ||||||||
| 45.8 | 83.3% | 9–10/03/2020 | 70.0 | ||||||||||||
| −33.1% | 29/03/2020 | 12/03/2020 | 71.6–73.1 | −1.2% | 12/03/2020 | 71.9–72.9 | |||||||||
| −43.9% | 26–27/03/2020 | 14–15/03/2020 | 74.5–74.7 | 67.1 | 46.5% | 14/03/2020 | 74.5 | −66.2% | −65.0% | 15/03/2020 | 74.3–75.6 | ||||
| −44.2% | 03/04/2020 | 17/03/2020 | 76.1–77.3 | 71.8 | 4.0% | 16–17/03/2020 | 77.0 | ||||||||
| −37.6% | 01/04/2020 | 20/03/2020 | 80.7–81.0 | ||||||||||||
| −37.1% | 08/04/2020 | 22/03/2020 | 81.4–83.4 | ||||||||||||
| −46.2% | 05/04/2020 | 24/03/2020 | 87.0–87.6 | ||||||||||||
Each row includes all associated breakpoints and thresholds. Note that, to allow for a comparison of values across the different variables, 95% CI are expressed as day of the year (with 1 January 2020 being day 0) and, for the #cases and #deaths, calculated for the estimated date of infection.