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. 2020 Dec 14;21(Suppl 17):527. doi: 10.1186/s12859-020-03872-0

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

In silico SARS-CoV-2 viral dynamics and related CPE in a “mean in silico patient” severe scenario. In the left panel, one can observe the severe digital patient case in which a virus challenge dose of 0.1 multiplicity of infection (MOI) was administered at day 0 (green line). Peak viral titers are reached by 48 h post-inoculation. In addition, it is wort to note that virus persists after day 10, until day 15, and its complete clearance is around day 19. In the inner panel (purple line), IL-6 dynamics and its related plasma levels (fg/μL) are shown. IL-6 dynamics shows a much more prominent peak of values. This is in very good agreement with latest literature data, as explained within the manuscript. In the right panel, the dynamics of CPE on the lung infected cells is measured: in this case, CPE are much more severe and the recover from infection is clearly delayed. UISS is capable to simulate, accordingly to the recent literature, how the severe cases tend to have a higher viral load both at the beginning and later on