Table 3. Correlations between Predictions by Our Main SLR (Two-Step, step2) and RF (Two-Step, step1) Models at 41,936 Random Locationsa.
PM2.5 Cu |
PM2.5 Fe |
PM2.5 K |
PM2.5 Ni |
PM2.5 S |
PM2.5 Si |
PM2.5 V |
PM2.5 Zn |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
region | r | RMSEb | r | RMSE | r | RMSE | r | RMSE | r | RMSE | r | RMSE | r | RMSE | r | RMSE | N |
all European countries | 0.72 | 1.1 | 0.66 | 20.5 | 0.75 | 51.3 | 0.56 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 162.6 | 0.56 | 22.8 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 0.73 | 7.1 | 41,936 |
ELAPSE Countries | |||||||||||||||||
combined | 0.79 | 1.0 | 0.77 | 19.1 | 0.70 | 56.1 | 0.53 | 0.5 | 0.89 | 142.0 | 0.75 | 12.5 | 0.66 | 0.8 | 0.73 | 7.0 | 27,411 |
Austria | 0.77 | 1.1 | 0.80 | 16.2 | 0.80 | 35.0 | 0.28 | 0.1 | 0.95 | 69.5 | 0.08 | 9.5 | 0.82 | 0.2 | 0.89 | 4.4 | 1051 |
Belgium | 0.82 | 0.9 | 0.89 | 11.9 | 0.05 | 21.0 | 0.83 | 0.4 | 0.79 | 47.4 | 0.71 | 8.2 | 0.76 | 0.8 | 0.70 | 11.4 | 355 |
Switzerland | 0.80 | 1.1 | 0.89 | 13.1 | 0.76 | 24.1 | 0.36 | 0.1 | 0.48 | 95.0 | 0.38 | 9.2 | 0.49 | 0.2 | 0.65 | 5.8 | 500 |
Germany | 0.74 | 1.0 | 0.80 | 14.9 | 0.43 | 30.6 | 0.66 | 0.3 | 0.67 | 60.1 | 0.59 | 8.2 | 0.80 | 0.4 | 0.58 | 6.9 | 4233 |
Denmark | 0.77 | 0.3 | 0.77 | 9.3 | 0.68 | 15.0 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.73 | 36.0 | 0.45 | 7.2 | 0.24 | 0.3 | 0.49 | 2.0 | 522 |
France | 0.62 | 1.1 | 0.75 | 14.2 | 0.31 | 26.9 | 0.39 | 0.4 | 0.72 | 69.0 | 0.48 | 9.0 | 0.77 | 0.6 | 0.59 | 6.8 | 6476 |
Italy | 0.72 | 1.3 | 0.53 | 23.2 | 0.69 | 33.6 | 0.51 | 0.6 | 0.83 | 183.0 | 0.70 | 19.5 | 0.63 | 1.3 | 0.67 | 9.0 | 3550 |
Netherlands | 0.74 | 0.9 | 0.83 | 14.2 | 0.55 | 17.2 | 0.64 | 0.4 | 0.60 | 45.0 | 0.68 | 8.9 | 0.48 | 0.7 | 0.66 | 14.2 | 451 |
Norway | 0.37 | 0.0 | 0.61 | 5.6 | –0.68c | 8.6 | 0.43 | 0.2 | 0.25 | 104.9 | 0.03 | 4.3 | 0.80 | 0.3 | 0.46 | 4.0 | 2649 |
Sweden | 0.56 | 0.2 | 0.77 | 5.8 | –0.68c | 22.6 | 0.68 | 0.1 | 0.88 | 86.7 | 0.31 | 4.9 | 0.73 | 0.4 | 0.38 | 3.6 | 4786 |
United Kingdom | 0.85 | 0.6 | 0.87 | 12.0 | –0.74c | 25.9 | 0.59 | 0.3 | 0.86 | 72.1 | 0.12 | 9.6 | 0.57 | 0.5 | 0.68 | 4.1 | 2838 |
Non-ELAPSE Countries | |||||||||||||||||
Greece | 0.55 | 1.0 | 0.57 | 16.8 | 0.38 | 28.7 | 0.44 | 0.8 | 0.18 | 123.5 | 0.34 | 25.6 | 0.46 | 1.9 | 0.54 | 7.0 | 1541 |
Finland | 0.25 | 0.3 | 0.58 | 7.4 | 0.49 | 28.7 | 0.48 | 0.1 | 0.85 | 67.3 | 0.28 | 4.9 | 0.33 | 0.3 | 0.55 | 4.2 | 3208 |
Hungary | 0.68 | 0.9 | 0.61 | 11.7 | 0.74 | 29.0 | 0.34 | 0.2 | 0.60 | 87.4 | 0.57 | 8.2 | 0.67 | 0.3 | 0.79 | 5.0 | 1123 |
Ireland | 0.52 | 0.3 | 0.65 | 5.8 | –0.70c | 16.9 | 0.46 | 0.2 | 0.45 | 48.5 | –0.08 | 4.8 | 0.41 | 0.4 | 0.26 | 1.8 | 844 |
Lithuania | 0.63 | 0.8 | 0.68 | 7.0 | 0.65 | 25.3 | 0.26 | 0.1 | 0.16 | 52.5 | 0.59 | 4.7 | 0.29 | 0.2 | 0.89 | 1.8 | 783 |
Luxembourg | 0.76 | 0.8 | 0.83 | 8.4 | –0.08 | 16.2 | 0.82 | 0.1 | 0.82 | 26.5 | 0.77 | 4.9 | 0.80 | 0.2 | 0.83 | 2.1 | 33 |
Portugal | 0.41 | 1.6 | 0.01 | 21.0 | –0.03 | 23.5 | 0.71 | 0.4 | 0.72 | 72.9 | 0.22 | 7.3 | 0.80 | 0.7 | 0.60 | 6.6 | 1021 |
Spain | 0.59 | 1.2 | 0.34 | 17.2 | 0.06 | 32.7 | 0.41 | 0.6 | 0.59 | 102.0 | 0.49 | 10.7 | 0.59 | 1.1 | 0.56 | 8.0 | 5972 |
r = Pearson correlation coefficient; RMSE = root-mean-square error.
Unit of RMSE: ng/m3.
We do not have clear explanations of these high negative correlations. These values possibly reflect the poor performance of both models at low concentrations. Scatter plots documented the poor agreement between predictions by the two models with lots of scatters.