Skip to main content
. 2020 Dec 7;11:579411. doi: 10.3389/fgene.2020.579411

FIGURE 4.

FIGURE 4

Modeling the potential contributions of super-spreaders to carriage dynamics. The contributions of super-spreaders (SS) to carriage dynamics were tested by running SIR models with either varying effective contact ratios for a fixed proportion of SS or varying proportions of SS with a fixed ratio of effective contacts. (A) indicates the impact of differences in the ratio of effective contact rates for SS vs. nSS. This model was run with 20% of the carriers being SS. The SS:nSS effective contact rate ratios were:- red line, 1000:147.5; blue line, 500:147.5; green line, 250:147.5. (B) displays the impact of variations in the proportion of SS. These models utilized a constant effective contact rate of 1000:147.5 for SS to nSS, respectively. The relative proportions of nSS to SS were: - red line 70:30; blue line, 80:20; and green line, 90:10. The inset displays the data for months 1 to 2 on a broader scale. In both panels the observed carriage is indicated by the black line.