Table 2. Expected time in days to test 10% of the US population for three different infection rates.
Method | ir = 0.1% | ir = 1% | ir = 2.5% | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
days | speedup | days | speedup | days | speedup | |
Individual testing | 224.4 | 224.4 | 224.4 | |||
2-level pooling | 16.4 | 13.7x | 45.8 | 4.9x | 70.1 | 3.2x |
Binary splitting | 10.3 | 21.8x | 28.5 | 7.9x | 55.4 | 4.1x |
Recursive binary splitting | 8.8 | 25.5x | 23.2 | 9.7x | 46.4 | 4.8x |
Purim | 14.6 | 15.4x | 31.1 | 7.2x | 55.2 | 4.1x |
Sobel-R1 | 8.7 | 25.8x | 20.7 | 10.8x | 39.4 | 5.7x |
Test capacities and simulation parameters as of April 14, 2020, see Table 1