Table 1. Comparison of 2 different public health responses to the COVID-19.
Variables | Great Barrington Declaration | John Snow Memorandum |
---|---|---|
Objective | To minimize mortality and social harm by balancing risks and benefits until sufficient herd immunity is reached. | To control community spread of COVID-19 until effective vaccines are available. |
Strategies | Focused protection. | Sustained suppression. |
Maintenance of social activities in low-risk, young age groups, and strengthened protection for high-risk groups → gradual increase in herd immunity. | Suppression of community outbreaks through reinforced social distancing until effective vaccines/therapeutics are available → secure socioeconomic safety. | |
Supporting evidence | Significant differences with age and comorbidities in the CFR of COVID-19: fatality rates were 1000-fold higher in the old and infirm than in the young. | Several-fold higher CFR of COVID-19 compared to seasonal influenza. |
Uncertain duration of protective immunity after recovery from COVID-19. | ||
Possibility of re-infection. | ||
Presumed disadvantages | Uncontrolled COVID-19 outbreak in young adults will eventually spread to all ages, including old adults. | Lower childhood vaccination rate. Worsening cardiovascular disease outcome. Fewer cancer screenings. Deteriorating mental health. Problems in student education. Harmful to the economy. |
High morbidity and mortality. | ||
Collapse of the medical system. | ||
Socioeconomic loss. | ||
Applicability | Due to Korea's multigenerational family and cultural characteristics, focused protection of high-risk groups faces practical difficulties. | There are concerns relating to increased fatigue and economic damage when sustained suppression lasts for a long time. |
COVID-19 = coronavirus disease 2019, CFR = case fatality rates.