Table 3.
Spatial Error Regression of Birth to Death Ratio (Logged) and Selected Variables for 2010 to 2019.
| Coefficient | Stand Error | Z‐Value | Significance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | −1.09190 | .08589 | −12.71 | .000 |
| Child‐women ratio | .03166 | .00127 | 24.83 | .000 |
| Over 65 percent | −.03798 | .00164 | −23.14 | .000 |
| Child‐bearing age rate | .01978 | .00070 | 28.22 | .000 |
| Nonmetropolitan dummy | −.04752 | .00703 | −6.76 | .000 |
| Lambda | .68309 | .01721 | 39.70 | .000 |
| Pseudo R‐square | .845 | |||
| Log likelihood | 1,415 | |||
| Alaike | −2,819 | |||
| Schwarz | −2,789 |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates 2010 to 2019.
Child‐Women ratio = ((age under 5 / women 15–44) * 1,000) in 2010 Over 65 percent = ((population age 65 or more / total population) * 100) in 2010 Child‐Bearing age ratio = ((Women 15–44 / Total women) * 1,000) in 2010. Nonmetropolitan Dummy coded 1 for nonmetropolitan county and 0 for metropolitan county Birth to death ratio 2010 to 2019 = (Log (births 2010 to 2019 / deaths 2010 to 2019)).
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