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. 2020 Dec 23;4(4):e446–e456. doi: 10.1055/s-0040-1721735

Table 1. VTE risk factor category descriptions and 1- and 5-year recurrence rates following discontinuation of anticoagulation therapy.

Risk factor category 1-year VTE recurrence rate 5 9 5-year VTE recurrence rate 2 57
Major transient 1% 3%
Major persistent 15% NC a
Minor transient 4–6% 15%
Minor persistent 11% ∼30% b
Unprovoked 8–10% 30%

Abbreviations: NC, not calculable; VTE, venous thromboembolism.

a

Unable to calculate due to high mortality.

b

Based on the assumption described by Kearon et al in 2010 that the risk of recurrence after stopping anticoagulant therapy conforms to a negatively accelerating curve, and that the cumulative risk of recurrence after 5 years of follow-up is about three times the risk after the first year. 57