Table 3.
Projected absolute numbers of maternal and neonatal deaths and stillbirths, and of deaths averted, in 2035, by country HDI group
| Scenario 0: no change; deaths (thousands) |
Scenario 1: modestscale-up |
Scenario 2: substantial scale-up |
Scenario 3: universal coverage |
Scenario 4: attrition |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths (thousands) | Deaths averted (thousands) | Deaths (thousands) | Deaths averted (thousands) | Deaths (thousands) | Deaths averted (thousands) | Deaths (thousands) | Deaths averted (thousands) | ||
| Group A: low HDI | |||||||||
| Maternal deaths | 168 | 134 | 34 | 103 | 65 | 50 | 118 | 178 | −11 |
| Stillbirths | 943 | 817 | 126 | 684 | 259 | 269 | 674 | 988 | −45 |
| Neonatal deaths | 982 | 778 | 204 | 604 | 378 | 280 | 702 | 1050 | −68 |
| Group B: low-to-medium HDI | |||||||||
| Maternal deaths | 220 | 168 | 52 | 126 | 95 | 72 | 148 | 239 | −19 |
| Stillbirths | 1863 | 1597 | 266 | 1363 | 501 | 638 | 1225 | 1981 | −118 |
| Neonatal deaths | 1757 | 1324 | 433 | 1030 | 727 | 647 | 1110 | 1920 | −164 |
| Group C: medium-to-high HDI | |||||||||
| Maternal deaths | 28 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 33 | −5 |
| Stillbirths | 413 | 357 | 56 | 321 | 92 | 219 | 194 | 472 | −60 |
| Neonatal deaths | 364 | 283 | 81 | 247 | 116 | 203 | 161 | 427 | −63 |
| All 88 countries | |||||||||
| Maternal deaths | 416 | 323 | 93 | 246 | 170 | 136 | 280 | 450 | −34 |
| Stillbirths | 3219 | 2771 | 448 | 2368 | 852 | 1126 | 2093 | 3441 | −222 |
| Neonatal deaths | 3102 | 2385 | 718 | 1881 | 1221 | 1130 | 1972 | 3397 | −295 |
HDI=Human Development Index. Modest scale-up assumes a 10% increase in coverage every 5 years; substantial scale-up assumes a 25% increase in coverage every 5 years; universal coverage assumes 95% coverage of all interventions by 2035; and attrition assumes a 2% decrease in coverage every 5 years.