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. 2020 Nov 30;12(12):3698. doi: 10.3390/nu12123698

Table 2.

Potential scenarios of averted cases of wasting in the next 10 years (2021–2030).

Wasting Target (Prevalence in % by 2030) Estimated AARR Required * Number of Moderately Wasted Children (MAM) Adverted Cases Number of Severe Acute Malnutrition (SAM) Averted Cases
≤5% (SDG target) 5.4% 5.5 million 2.4 million
5–6% 3.7% 4.0 million 1.7 million
7% 2.2% 2.5 million 1.1 million
8% 0.9% 1 million 0.43 million

Note: AARR, annual average reduction rate; * AARR required from 2021 to reach the target.