Table 2.
Descriptive statistics of variables in the training dataset (Goceano–Baronia) for (a) outcome 1 (PCR-positive wild boar detected in 2018–2019) and (b) for outcome 2 (young seropositive animals detected in 2019–2020). Data are presented as the frequency (%) or mean (standard deviation (SD)), median (I–III interquartile), and p-value.
| (a) Variables | Outcome 1 = 1 PCR-Positive Detected in 2018–2019 (178 Grids) |
Outcome 1 = 0 PCR-Positive Not Detected in 2018–2019 (3775 Grids) |
p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCR-positive 1 | |||
| Hunting season 2017–2018 | 1 (0–2) | 0 (0–0) | <0.0001 |
| Adult seropositive 1 | |||
| Hunting season 2017–2018 | 6 (4–8) | 0 (0–2) | <0.0001 |
| Hunting season 2018–2019 | 3 (2–9) | 0 (0–1) | <0.0001 |
| Young seropositive 1 | |||
| Hunting season 2017–2018 | 2 (1–3) | 0 (0–0) | <0.0001 |
| Hunting season 2018–2019 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | NS |
| Altitude (mamsl) | 700 (600–800) | 500 (300–700) | <0.0001 |
| Road (km) | 1.7 (0–2.6) | 1.0 (0–2.4) | 0.007 |
| Forest (km2) | 1.82 (0.81) | 1.24 (0.82) | <0.0001 |
| Wild boar density 1,2 | 5 (0–7) | 0 (0–5) | <0.0001 |
| Amount of protected forest (km2) | 0 (0–1.3) | 0 (0–0.7) | <0.0001 |
| (b) Variables |
Outcome 2 = 1
Young Seropositive Animal Detected in 2019–2020 (229 Grids) |
Outcome 2 = 0
Young Seropositive Animal Not Detected in 2019–2020 (3724 Grids) |
p-Value |
| PCR-positive 1 | |||
| Hunting season 2017–2018 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | NS |
| Hunting season 2018–2019 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | NS |
| Adult seropositive 1 | |||
| Hunting season 2017–2018 | 1 (0–4) | 0 (0–2) | <0.0001 |
| Hunting season 2018–2019 | 0 (0–1) | 0 (0–1) | NS |
| Hunting season 2019–2020 | 0 (0–2) | 0 (0–1) | <0.0001 |
| Young seropositive 1 | |||
| Hunting season 2017–2018 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–1) | NS |
| Hunting season 2018–2019 | 0 (0–0) | 0 (0–0) | NS |
| Altitude (mamsl) | 550 (450–700) | 500 (300–700) | 0.0026 |
| Road (km) | 0 (0–2.18) | 1.1 (0–2.41) | <0.0001 |
| Forest (km2) | 1.78 (0.69) | 1.24 (0.82) | <0.0001 |
| Wild boar density 1,2 | 3 (0–5) | 0 (0–5) | <0.0001 |
| Amount of protected forest (km2) | 1.58 (0–4.2) | 0 (0–0.05) | <0.0001 |
1 Considering the features of wild boar imputed in the neighboring grids, the number of positive animals correspond to the number of grids covered by a 5 km2, for which the ASF-positive cases were imputed. 2 Wild boar density is based on the wild boar management plan [13].