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. 2020 Nov 6;9(22):e016806. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.120.016806

Table 2.

Risks of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events According to the Frequency of Moderate‐to‐Vigorous Physical Activity and MetS Status

MetS status Frequency of MV‐PA Number of People Number of MACEs Follow‐Up (Person‐Years) Incidence Rate (/1000 Person‐Years) Unadjusted Model Multivariable Model
IRR (95% CI) P Value Adjusted IRR (95% CI) P Value
MetS‐free 0 d/wk 1 840 026 17 237 7 981 115 2.16 Reference Reference
1–2 d/wk 1 531 152 8953 6 878 662 1.30 0.60 (0.59–0.62) <0.001 0.84 (0.82–0.87) <0.001
3–4 d/wk 756 270 5226 3 367 586 1.55 0.72 (0.70–0.74) <0.001 0.80 (0.77–0.82) <0.001
≥5 d/wk 420 090 4027 1 825 140 2.21 1.02 (0.99–1.06) 0.222 0.84 (0.81–0.86) <0.001
MetS‐recovery 0 d/wk 145 047 3222 610 909 5.27 2.44 (2.35–2.54) <0.001 1.40 (1.35–1.46) <0.001
1–2 d/wk 104 911 1423 468 051 3.04 1.41 (1.33–1.49) <0.001 1.24 (1.17–1.31) <0.001
3–4 d/wk 59 716 910 262 636 3.46 1.60 (1.50–1.71) <0.001 1.17 (1.09–1.25) <0.001
≥5 d/wk 38 639 772 163 687 4.72 2.18 (2.03–2.35) <0.001 1.18 (1.09–1.26) <0.001
MetS‐developed 0 d/wk 156 540 4347 634 581 6.85 3.17 (3.07–3.28) <0.001 1.47 (1.43–1.53) <0.001
1–2 d/wk 101 511 1840 436 850 4.21 1.95 (1.86–2.05) <0.001 1.41 (1.34–1.48) <0.001
3–4 d/wk 54 830 1084 231 489 4.68 2.17 (2.04–2.31) <0.001 1.22 (1.14–1.3) <0.001
≥5 d/wk 35 282 922 143 535 6.42 2.97 (2.78–3.18) <0.001 1.24 (1.16–1.33) <0.001
MetS‐chronic 0 d/wk 406 137 15 625 1 624 863 9.62 4.45 (4.36–4.55) <0.001 1.60 (1.56–1.64) <0.001
1–2 d/wk 225 524 6096 965 660 6.31 2.92 (2.84–3.01) <0.001 1.60 (1.55–1.65) <0.001
3–4 d/wk 136 733 3867 572 284 6.76 3.13 (3.02–3.24) <0.001 1.37 (1.32–1.42) <0.001
≥5 d/wk 95 669 3219 384 603 8.37 3.88 (3.73–4.02) <0.001 1.30 (1.25–1.35) <0.001

Multivariable model was adjusted for baseline age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate (continuous, mL/min per 1.73 m2), alanine aminotransferase (continuous, IU/mL), aspartate aminotransferase (continuous, IU/mL), hemoglobin (continuous, g/dL), low‐income status (the lowest quartile in the nation), body mass index (continuous, kg/m2), Charlson Comorbidity Index score, and place of residence (urban or rural). IRR indicates incidence rate ratio; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; MetS, metabolic syndrome; and MV‐PA, moderate‐to‐vigorous physical activity.