Table 2. Spread of COVID-19 (difference in cases, rate increase, incremental rate increase, and transmission rate β by province).
| Provinces | T0 (date of first details. or 25.2. or report of 10th case) | Number of cases first data | T1—after 20 days | Number of cases at T1 | Difference in cases | Rate of increase in cases (T1/T0) | Incremental rate (T1-T0)/T0 | β (see Methods for calculation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PD | 25/02 | 30 | 15/03 | 658 | 628 | 21.9 | 20.9 | 0.176 |
| BG | 25/02 | 18 | 15/03 | 3416 | 3398 | 189.8 | 188.8 | 0.318 |
| PV | 25/02 | 27 | 15/03 | 722 | 695 | 26.7 | 25.7 | 0.189 |
| CR | 25/02 | 53 | 15/03 | 1792 | 1739 | 33.8 | 32.8 | 0.204 |
| LO | 25/02 | 125 | 15/03 | 1320 | 1195 | 10.6 | 9.6 | 0.132 |
| PC | 25/02 | 18 | 15/03 | 1012 | 994 | 56.2 | 55.2 | 0.236 |
| TV | 27/02 | 22 | 17/03 | 502 | 480 | 22.8 | 21.8 | 0.179 |
| VE | 27/02 | 14 | 17/03 | 378 | 364 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 0.189 |
| MI | 27/02 | 15 | 17/03 | 2326 | 2311 | 155.1 | 154.1 | 0.304 |
| BR | 27/02 | 10 | 17/03 | 3300 | 3290 | 330.0 | 329.0 | 0.357 |
| PR | 27/02 | 10 | 17/03 | 800 | 790 | 80.0 | 79.0 | 0.259 |
| MO | 27/02 | 18 | 17/03 | 460 | 442 | 25.6 | 24.6 | 0.186 |
| TO | 28/02 | 11 | 17/03 | 749 | 738 | 68.1 | 67.1 | 0.249 |
| RN | 29/02 | 15 | 19/03 | 691 | 676 | 46.1 | 45.1 | 0.223 |
| AT | 02/03 | 37 | 21/03 | 166 | 129 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.082 |
| VR | 03/03 | 17 | 22/03 | 1046 | 1029 | 61.5 | 60.5 | 0.242 |
| MN | 03/03 | 15 | 22/03 | 905 | 890 | 60.3 | 59.3 | 0.241 |
| RE | 03/03 | 14 | 22/03 | 1167 | 1153 | 83.4 | 82.4 | 0.262 |
| VI | 04/03 | 10 | 23/03 | 691 | 681 | 69.1 | 68.1 | 0.25 |
| VA | 04/03 | 11 | 23/03 | 421 | 410 | 38.3 | 37.3 | 0.211 |
| MB | 04/03 | 11 | 23/03 | 1130 | 1119 | 102.7 | 101.7 | 0.276 |
| BO | 04/03 | 11 | 23/03 | 833 | 822 | 75.7 | 74.7 | 0.256 |
| AL | 04/03 | 16 | 23/03 | 817 | 801 | 51.1 | 50.1 | 0.23 |
| CO | 05/03 | 11 | 24/03 | 635 | 624 | 57.7 | 56.7 | 0.238 |
| LC | 06/03 | 11 | 25/03 | 1076 | 1065 | 97.8 | 96.8 | 0.273 |
| BL | 07/03 | 11 | 26/03 | 313 | 302 | 28.5 | 27.5 | 0.193 |
| RA | 07/03 | 10 | 26/03 | 451 | 441 | 45.1 | 44.1 | 0.222 |
| VC | 07/03 | 10 | 26/03 | 336 | 326 | 33.6 | 32.6 | 0.203 |
| VB | 07/03 | 10 | 26/03 | 255 | 245 | 25.5 | 24.5 | 0.186 |
| FC | 08/03 | 15 | 27/03 | 580 | 565 | 38.7 | 37.7 | 0.212 |
| BI | 08/03 | 19 | 27/03 | 367 | 348 | 19.3 | 18.3 | 0.169 |
| NO | 08/03 | 13 | 27/03 | 609 | 596 | 46.8 | 45.8 | 0.224 |
| CN | 09/03 | 11 | 28/03 | 558 | 547 | 50.7 | 49.7 | 0.23 |
| RO | 10/03 | 10 | 29/03 | 125 | 115 | 12.5 | 11.5 | 0.142 |
| SO | 11/03 | 13 | 30/03 | 446 | 433 | 34.3 | 33.3 | 0.205 |
| FE | 11/03 | 12 | 30/03 | 306 | 294 | 25.5 | 24.5 | 0.186 |
| MIN | 10 | 125 | 115 | 4.5 | 11.5 | 0.082 | ||
| Max | 125 | 3416 | 3398 | 330 | 27.184 | 0.357 | ||
| Mean | 19 | 871.1 | 852.1 | 59.9 | 58.9 | 0.221 |
PD: Padova; BG: Bergamo; PV: Pavia; CR: Cremona; LO: Lodi; PC: Piacenza; TV: Treviso; VE: Venezia; MI: Milano; BR: Brescia; PR: Parma; MO: Modena; TO: Torino; RN: Rimini; AT: Asti; VR: Verona; MN: Mantova; RE: Reggio Emilia; VI: Vicenza; VA: Varese; MB: Monza-Brianza; BO: Bologna; AL: Alessandria; CO: Como; LC: Lecco; BL: Belluno; RA: Ravenna; VC: Vercelli; VB: Verbano-Cusio-Ossola; FC: Forlì-Cesena; BI: Biella; NO: Novara; CN: Cuneo; RO: Rovigo; SO: Sondrio; FE: Ferrara