Table 3.
Lifetime Risks of Cardiovascular Disease Events among White and Black Men Adjusted for Competing Risks of Death
| White Men | Black Men | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High CVH | Moderate CVH | Low CVH | High CVH | Moderate CVH | Low CVH | |
| Age <40 years, Risk after Index Age | ||||||
| 5 years | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 years | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 (0.0–2.0) |
| 15 years | 0.0 | 0.2 (0.0–0.6) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 (0.0–2.8) |
| 20 years | 0.0 | 0.4 (0.0–0.9) | 0.0 | 1.1 (0.0–3.1) | 1.1 (0.1–2.0) | 1.2 (0.0–2.8) |
| 25 years | 0.3 (0.0–1.0) | 1.2 (0.3–2.1) | 4.3 (1.6–7.1) | 1.1 (0.0–3.1) | 2.4 (1.0–3.7) | 5.8 (2.6–9.0) |
| 30 years | 0.3 (0.0–1.0) | 2.6 (1.3–3.9) | 7.8 (4.1–11.4) | 2.1 (0.0–5.0) | 4.1 (2.3–5.9) | 10.0 (5.9–14.1) |
| 35 years | 0.7 (0.0–1.7) | 5.0 (3.1–6.9) | 12.6 (7.8–17.4) | 2.1 (0.0–5.0) | 6.1 (3.8–8.3) | 13.6 (8.8–18.5) |
| 40 years | 0.7 (0.0–1.7) | 6.0 (3.8–8.2) | 14.4 (9.1–19.6) | 2.1 (0.0–5.0) | 7.1 (4.4–9.8) | 17.6 (9.9–25.3) |
| Age 40–59 years, Risk after Index Age | ||||||
| 5 years | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 years | 0.0 | 0.7 (0.0–1.6) | 3.4 (1.7–5.0) | 0.0 | 3.8 (0.0–11.2) | 4.2 (1.4–6.9) |
| 15 years | 0.0 | 2.1 (1.0–3.3) | 8.0 (6.1–9.9) | 0.0 | 4.5 (0.0–11.9) | 8.7 (4.5–12.9) |
| 20 years | 1.0 (0.0–2.4) | 3.9 (2.6–5.2) | 13.4 (11.4–15.4) | 0.0 | 8.2 (0.7–15.7) | 13.7 (8.0–19.4) |
| 25 years | 1.5 (0.0–3.2) | 6.1 (4.7–7.6) | 19.8 (17.7–21.9) | 4.2 (0.0–12.2) | 11.8 (4.2–19.4) | 20.1 (12.3–27.9) |
| 30 years | 4.8 (1.5–8.1) | 10.0 (8.2–11.8) | 27.0 (24.9–29.2) | 4.2 (0.0–12.2) | 18.3 (10.3–26.4) | 28.4 (17.7–39.0) |
| 35 years | 8.4 (3.2–13.5) | 15.2 (12.8–17.6) | 34.2 (31.9–36.6) | 4.2 (0.0–12.2) | 19.6 (11.3–27.9) | 35.8 (22.5–49.1) |
| 40 years | 14.9 (1.7–28.1) | 21.5 (17.6–25.5) | 41.2 (38.2–44.1) | 4.2 (0.0–12.2) | 22.3 (12.7–31.9) | 41.8 (26.2–57.4) |
| Age ≥60 years, Risk after Index Age | ||||||
| 5 years | 0.0 | 2.9 (0.2–5.5) | 9.2 (6.4–12.0) | 0.0 | 5.7 (0.0–11.9) | 10.8 (5.7–16.0) |
| 10 years | 0.0 | 7.6 (4.5–10.7) | 18.8 (15.7–21.9) | 0.0 | 8.6 (1.7–15.5) | 18.5 (13.0–24.0) |
| 15 years | 5.6 (0.3–10.9) | 14.2 (10.7–17.6) | 30.3 (27.1–33.5) | 8.3 (0.0–24.0) | 15.2 (7.6–22.9) | 27.4 (21.8–33.1) |
| 20 years | 7.9 (1.8–14.0) | 22.1 (18.5–25.7) | 42.1 (38.9–45.3) | 17.7 (0.0–40.1) | 23.3 (15.1–31.5) | 36.2 (30.5–41.9) |
| 25 years | 18.9 (9.5–28.2) | 34.3 (30.3–38.2) | 52.3 (49.0–55.5) | 36.5 (0.1–72.9) | 28.1 (19.3–36.9) | 42.9 (37.1–48.8) |
| 30 years | 29.1 (16.6–41.6) | 42.0 (37.8–46.3) | 60.9 (57.6–64.2) | 36.5 (0.1–72.9) | 33.7 (22.4–44.9) | 48.4 (41.9–54.9) |
| 35 years | - * | 51.2 (46.3–56.1) | 65.5 (62.1–68.9) | - * | - * | 48.4 (41.9–54.9) |
CVH indicates cardiovascular health
Risk estimates are reported as percentages (95% confidence intervals); for risk = 0.0%, 95% confidence intervals were not calculated
*
Incidence cannot be calculated due to insufficient follow-up