Table 4.
Lifetime Risks of Cardiovascular Disease among White and Black Women Adjusted for Competing Risks of Death
| White Women | Black Women | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High CVH | Moderate CVH | Low CVH | High CVH | Moderate CVH | Low CVH | |
| Age <40 years, Risk after Index Age | ||||||
| 5 years | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 years | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 (0.0–3.1) | 0.0 | 0.7 (0.0–2.0) |
| 15 years | 0.0 | 0.4 (0.0–0.9) | 0.0 | 1.0 (0.0–3.1) | 0.0 | 1.2 (0.0–2.7) |
| 20 years | 0.2 (0.0–0.6) | 0.5 (0.0–1.1) | 0.6 (0.0–1.8) | 1.0 (0.0–3.1) | 0.1 (0.0–0.4) | 2.3 (0.5–4.1) |
| 25 years | 0.4 (0.0–1.0) | 0.7 (0.0–1.4) | 0.6 (0.0–1.8) | 1.0 (0.0–3.1) | 1.5 (0.6–2.4) | 3.1 (1.1–5.2) |
| 30 years | 0.8 (0.0–1.7) | 1.4 (0.4–2.3) | 3.1 (0.4–5.8) | 1.0 (0.0–3.1) | 2.8 (1.6–4.1) | 6.7 (3.9–9.4) |
| 35 years | 1.3 (0.3–2.3) | 2.2 (1.0–3.4) | 5.8 (2.1–9.4) | 2.0 (0.0–4.7) | 3.6 (2.1–5.0) | 8.4 (5.3–11.5) |
| 40 years | 1.7 (0.4–3.0) | 2.2 (1.0–3.4) | 8.6 (2.1–15.2) | 2.0 (0.0–4.7) | 4.4 (2.6–6.3) | 8.4 (5.3–11.5) |
| Age 40–59 years, Risk after Index Age | ||||||
| 5 years | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 years | 0.0 | 0.9 (0.1–1.7) | 1.2 (0.2–2.2) | 0.0 | 0.7 (0.0–2.0) | 2.7 (0.7–4.7) |
| 15 years | 0.0 | 1.4 (0.5–2.2) | 3.5 (2.3–4.8) | 0.0 | 2.7 (0.8–4.6) | 4.8 (2.6–6.9) |
| 20 years | 0.4 (0.0–0.9) | 2.4 (1.5–3.4) | 6.2 (4.8–7.6) | 0.0 | 3.6 (1.6–5.7) | 8.8 (6.6–11.1) |
| 25 years | 1.0 (0.1–1.9) | 4.3 (3.2–5.4) | 10.5 (8.9–12.0) | 0.0 | 5.7 (3.5–8.0) | 14.5 (12.2–16.8) |
| 30 years | 1.2 (0.2–2.2) | 6.6 (5.3–7.9) | 16.5 (14.8–18.3) | 0.0 | 8.9 (6.2–11.5) | 20.9 (18.4–23.4) |
| 35 years | 4.0 (1.1–6.8) | 10.2 (8.4–12.1) | 22.5 (20.4–24.5) | 0.0 | 10.0 (7.1–13.0) | 28.5 (25.4–31.6) |
| 40 years | 12.6 (2.6–22.6) | 16.6 (13.0–20.2) | 33.8 (30.6–37.1) | 0.0 | 12.7 (6.8–18.5) | 34.7 (30.4–39.0) |
| Age ≥60 years, Risk after Index Age | ||||||
| 5 years | 2.2 (0.0–6.5) | 1.9 (0.0–3.8) | 2.1 (0.7–3.6) | 0.0 | 3.1 (0.7–5.5) | 5.3 (3.3–7.2) |
| 10 years | 4.3 (0.0–9.4) | 5.0 (2.7–7.2) | 7.6 (5.8–9.5) | 0.0 | 5.0 (2.3–7.6) | 11.8 (9.4–14.1) |
| 15 years | 4.9 (0.0–10.2) | 9.3 (6.8–11.8) | 15.8 (13.7–17.8) | 2.0 (0.0–5.9) | 8.3 (5.3–11.3) | 17.9 (15.5–20.4) |
| 20 years | 7.5 (1.8–13.1) | 15.2 (12.5–18.0) | 26.5 (24.3–28.6) | 2.0 (0.0–5.9) | 12.7 (9.3–16.2) | 26.3 (23.6–28.9) |
| 25 years | 11.6 (5.2–18.1) | 26.1 (22.9–29.2) | 38.5 (36.3–40.8) | 6.5 (0.0–16.0) | 20.1 (15.6–24.5) | 33.1 (30.1–36.0) |
| 30 years | 24.9 (15.1–34.6) | 37.4 (33.7–41.1) | 50.7 (48.3–53.2) | 6.5 (0.0–16.0) | 26.5 (19.7–33.3) | 41.3 (37.2–45.4) |
| 35 years | 38.6 (22.6–54.7) | 46.5 (41.9–51.1) | 57.1 (54.4–59.7) | - * | - * | 51.9 (43.1–60.8) |
CVH indicates cardiovascular health
Risk estimates are reported as percentages (95% confidence intervals); for risk = 0.0%, 95% confidence intervals were not calculated
*
Incidence cannot be calculated due to insufficient follow-up