TABLE III.
The broken-down MAE (days, Mean±Standard Deviation) obtained from DMM-AAE and some baseline methods (M: Month; best performance at each time period is in bold font.)
| Fusion type | <3M | 3~6M | 6~9M | 9~12M | 12~18M | 18~24M | >24M | 0~12M | 12M~24M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model-agnostic | |||||||||
| RF (Early) | 31.2±2.5 | 21.3±1.7 | 21.3±1.5 | 53.1±2.1 | 59.2±2.2 | 79.4±4.3 | 131.1±5.2 | 33.5±1.0 | 65.0±1.9 |
| SVR (Early) | 49.0±4.3 | 44.8±2.7 | 43.0±2.7 | 52.4±3.8 | 55.1±2.7 | 57.7±3.0 | 78.2±3.7 | 47.6±1.8 | 55.8±1.8 |
| GPR (Early) | 36.0±1.4 | 44.0±1.4 | 49.0±1.1 | 67.6±1.0 | 54.2±1.0 | 94.3±0.9 | 161.3±1.5 | 52.9±0.7 | 65.5±0.9 |
| PLSR (Early) | 38.9±3.3 | 41.0±2.5 | 40.0±2.5 | 52.1±2.6 | 51.4±2.2 | 64.3±2.3 | 90.8±2.5 | 44.5±2.0 | 55.0±1.7 |
| PLSR (Late 1) | 39.6±4.7 | 41.1±2.8 | 37.9±2.6 | 48.8±3.1 | 45.7±2.0 | 63.5±1.3 | 82.6±2.5 | 42.9±1.5 | 50.7±1.2 |
| PLSR (Late 2) | 114.6±6.0 | 76.9±2.4 | 63.2±1.3 | 53.3±2.8 | 42.5±1.5 | 108.7±1.4 | 175±2.5 | 69.4±1.8 | 58.8±0.8 |
| PLSR (Hybrid) | 39.2±4.3 | 39.5±2.7 | 38.2±2.5 | 50.3±3.2 | 46.6±2.0 | 64.3±1.6 | 80.1±2.3 | 43.2±1.7 | 50.9±1.5 |
| Model-based | |||||||||
| MKL | 39.7±7.1 | 34.9±3.6 | 27.0±2.6 | 37.8±3.0 | 52.6±2.6 | 71.8±6.3 | 88.1±5.3 | 34.6±1.8 | 58.0±2.4 |
| iMSF | 43.1±4.4 | 44.1±2.3 | 41.7±3.3 | 53.9±3.2 | 52.8±2.2 | 65.8±3.6 | 125.3±6.4 | 46.9±1.7 | 56.5±1.7 |
| AAE-based | |||||||||
| AAE (Early) | 25.9±5.2 | 21.4±1.7 | 25.9±2.8 | 40.2±2.2 | 43.8±2.3 | 68.3±5.1 | 76.2±5.5 | 29.6±1.3 | 51.7±2.0 |
| AAE (Late) | 33.0±7.7 | 23.4±2.3 | 31.0±2.4 | 41.6±2.3 | 43.5±2.9 | 63.9±4.2 | 74.4±5.1 | 33.0±1.5 | 49.3±2.1 |
| DMM-AAE | 19.1±2.5 | 20.9±1.7 | 21.1±1.4 | 30.3±2.3 | 42.3±3.1 | 64.5±4.0 | 61.4±4.3 | 24.2±1.1 | 48.6±1.9 |