Table 1. Status quo and Fast track scenarios and PrEP uptake assumptions.

Scenarios	ART		Circumcision
	Kenya	South Africa	Kenya	South Africa
Status quo	2016 ART uptakea	2015 ART uptakeb		2010–2017 coverage
Fast-track	95-95-95 targetsc	95-95-95 targetsc	95% coverage	2018: 650,000d
				2019: 600,000
				2020: 550,000
				2021: 500,000
				2022–2036: 100,000
PrEP uptake assumptions
Parameter	Value		Reference
Efficacy	0.75		Baeten JM et al. 2012 [23]
Coverage	0.45		Assumption
Duration on PrEP	Gaussian(180,30) days		Assumption
Re-engangement	6 months		Assumption

^a Kenya 2016 ART uptake guidelines [31].

^b South Africa 2015 ART uptake guidelines [32].

^c United Nations AIDS. Fast-Track: ending the AIDS epidemic by 2030 [28].

^dSouth Africa 2017–2021 National Strategic Plan targets [29].