Table. 7.
Time Series Statistics Population of New-confirmed Cases in Different Model
| Date | Actual Value | Classical SEIR Model | SEAIRD Model | Adaptive SEAIRD Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2020 | 6 | 74 | 20 | 12.43983293 |
| 2 Mar 2020 | 24 | 73.99926 | 23.85714286 | 15.77549545 |
| 3 Mar 2020 | 20 | 81.34376001 | 33.21526531 | 23.82302131 |
| 4 Mar 2020 | 31 | 98.90194751 | 50.26571458 | 38.31993422 |
| 5 Mar 2020 | 68 | 131.3391522 | 72.31420605 | 56.74824613 |
| 6 Mar 2020 | 45 | 186.0013752 | 100.43217 | 79.72710365 |
| 7 Mar 2020 | 140 | 274.1622619 | 136.9237628 | 108.6733767 |
| 8 Mar 2020 | 116 | 412.6385894 | 184.9372265 | 145.2501694 |
| 9 Mar 2020 | 65 | 625.541646 | 248.5833226 | 191.1017847 |
| 10 Mar 2020 | 376 | 945.343172 | 333.2193855 | 247.4888183 |
| 11 Mar 2020 | 322 | 1411.289584 | 445.8314182 | 314.708531 |
| 12 Mar 2020 | 382 | 2061.675879 | 595.5009942 | 391.5409949 |
| 13 Mar 2020 | 516 | 2916.31221 | 793.9469722 | 476.3734678 |
| 14 Mar 2020 | 548 | 3951.159332 | 1056.111789 | 576.6764492 |
| 15 Mar 2020 | 772 | 5081.764409 | 1400.719042 | 745.7104788 |
| 16 Mar 2020 | 1133 | 6182.088665 | 1850.656575 | 1149.048151 |
| 17 Mar 2020 | 1789 | 7139.413536 | 2432.931451 | 1782.763817 |
| 18 Mar 2020 | 1362 | 7899.645549 | 3177.806194 | 1364.225523 |
| 19 Mar 2020 | 5894 | 8467.041877 | 4116.597621 | 5893.957572 |
| 20 Mar 2020 | 5596 | 8876.223039 | 5277.599336 | 10,053.37 |
| 21 Mar 2020 | 6327 | 9167.52506 | 6679.853966 | 6327.338866 |
| 22 Mar 2020 | 7676 | 9375.281221 | 8325.260655 | 8079.910465 |
| 23 Mar 2020 | 10,567 | 9525.053334 | 10,190.80427 | 10,566.60987 |
| 24 Mar 2020 | 9893 | 9634.672028 | 12,224.07822 | 9892.793667 |
| 25 Mar 2020 | 12,042 | 9716.214712 | 14,345.59876 | 12,042.07935 |
| 26 Mar 2020 | 18,058 | 9777.80038 | 16,459.45276 | 18,057.39392 |
| 27 Mar 2020 | 17,821 | 9824.924135 | 18,469.80996 | 17,821.3045 |
| 28 Mar 2020 | 19,808 | 9861.364967 | 20,297.31658 | 19,807.66437 |
| 29 Mar 2020 | 19,444 | 9889.776671 | 26,100.18368 | 19,443.99416 |