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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jan 4.
Published in final edited form as: Res Synth Methods. 2020 Sep 27;11(6):866–883. doi: 10.1002/jrsm.1448

Table 2:

Percent relative bias for estimation of pz, the zero-count experiment rate as a percentage of observed experiments, for Negative Binomial and Delaporte models as obtained from 1,000 simulated datasets. Parameter μ is the expected number of foci per experiment, ϕ, σ and ν are additional scale and shape parameters. Negative Binomial performs well and, while Delaporte often underestimated pz, with at least 1,000 contrasts it always has bias less than 10% (positive bias over-estimates the file drawer problem).

Negative Binomial
Parameter values % relative bias of p^z
μ ϕ pz E[k]=200 500 1000 2000
4 0.4 62.1 8.76 2.85 1.40 0.80
4 0.8 31.3 2.72 1.97 −0.78 0.32
4 1.0 25.0 1.70 1.21 0.72 0.16
4 1.5 16.6 2.85 1.66 0.71 0.13
8 0.4 42.0 7.07 3.17 0.70 −0.22
8 0.8 17.2 4.35 1.57 0.49 0.21
8 1.0 12.5 3.32 0.84 0.63 0.04
8 1.5 6.7 2.53 0.90 0.69 0.21
Delaporte
Parameter values % relative bias of p^z
μ σ ν pz E[k]=200 500 1000 2000
4 0.5 0.02 11.8 −12.65 −10.66 −9.69 −8.02
4 0.9 0.02 20.8 −17.47 −12.35 −10.28 −10.10
4 1.2 0.02 27.6 −20.46 −18.59 −16.64 −13.83
4 0.5 0.06 10.5 −6.13 −5.58 −4.77 −3.73
4 0.9 0.06 18.0 −4.08 −4.18 −1.32 0.15
4 1.2 0.06 23.4 −5.07 −3.27 −1.09 0.01
4 0.5 0.10 9.3 −4.53 −3.32 −2.65 −1.90
4 0.9 0.10 15.6 1.07 3.86 1.91 1.80
4 1.2 0.10 20.0 4.46 3.32 3.89 4.07
8 0.5 0.02 3.6 −13.77 −10.02 −7.75 −5.91
8 0.9 0.02 9.2 −11.99 −9.00 −7.46 −5.04
8 1.2 0.02 13.8 −14.07 −11.22 −9.48 −8.12
8 0.5 0.06 2.8 −3.04 −3.18 −2.12 −1.89
8 0.9 0.06 6.8 1.41 4.13 2.74 2.47
8 1.2 0.06 10.0 10.49 7.52 7.91 5.19
8 0.5 0.10 2.2 0.93 1.36 0.82 0.74
8 0.9 0.10 5.0 8.09 5.88 5.78 4.94
8 1.2 0.10 7.3 17.91 10.68 7.77 4.76