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. 2021 Jan 4;34(1):409–431. doi: 10.1057/s41287-020-00353-1

Table 4.

Effect of self-perceived risk of COVID-19 on voting

Variables OLS Probit IV 2SLS
β/95% CI β/95% CI β/95% CI
Perceived risk of catching COVID-19 − 0.005 − 0.006 − 0.096**
[− 0.047, 0.036] [− 0.047, 0.035] [− 0.175, − 0.017]
Age 25–34 − 0.007 − 0.005 − 0.008
[− 0.072, 0.057] [− 0.061, 0.051] [− 0.072, 0.057]
Age 35–44 0.042 0.047 0.043
[− 0.021, 0.106] [− 0.014, 0.108] [− 0.021, 0.106]
Age 45–54 0.010 0.010 0.012
[− 0.064, 0.085] [− 0.059, 0.079] [− 0.062, 0.087]
Age 55–64 0.045 0.054 0.042
[− 0.034, 0.123] [− 0.030, 0.138] [− 0.036, 0.121]
Age > 64 0.032 0.040 0.038
[− 0.050, 0.114] [− 0.048, 0.128] [− 0.046, 0.122]
Male 0.042* 0.043* 0.048**
[− 0.003, 0.087] [− 0.000, 0.086] [0.002, 0.093]
Primary education − 0.035 − 0.031 − 0.040
[− 0.108, 0.038] [− 0.104, 0.043] [− 0.113, 0.033]
Secondary education − 0.021 − 0.014 − 0.024
[− 0.103, 0.062] [− 0.096, 0.068] [− 0.107, 0.058]
Tertiary − 0.021 − 0.004 − 0.025
[− 0.127, 0.085] [− 0.116, 0.107] [− 0.133, 0.083]
Religion is Jehovah’s Witnesses − 0.126 − 0.119 − 0.120
[− 0.561, 0.309] [− 0.411, 0.173] [− 0.545, 0.305]
Respondent is employed 0.129*** 0.098*** 0.138***
[0.033, 0.225] [0.034, 0.162] [0.043, 0.233]
Agrees with court to nullify election 0.085** 0.069*** 0.082**
[0.018, 0.151] [0.020, 0.118] [0.016, 0.148]
Respondent lives in urban − 0.076** − 0.071*** − 0.084***
[− 0.136, − 0.016] [− 0.120, − 0.022] [− 0.144, − 0.023]
Fairy bad living conditions − 0.042* − 0.045** − 0.050*
[− 0.091, 0.008] [− 0.089, − 0.000] [− 0.099, 0.000]
Good living conditions 0.047* 0.041 0.041
[− 0.002, 0.097] [− 0.011, 0.094] [− 0.010, 0.091]
Northern region 0.047* 0.065* 0.037
[− 0.000, 0.094] [− 0.006, 0.137] [− 0.011, 0.085]
Southern region − 0.071*** − 0.067*** − 0.065**
[− 0.121, − 0.021] [− 0.112, − 0.023] [− 0.115, − 0.014]
N 1155 1155 1155
R2 0.066
Pseudo-R2
F 4.21***
χ2 80.37***

*p < 0.10; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01, 95% CI in brackets