Table 4.
Estimates of global human metapneumovirus-attributable ALRI cases, hospital admissions, and mortality, projected using attributable fractions that were calculated by use of inflation factors
Attributable fraction, %* | Global human metapneumovirus-associated burden estimates | Global human metapneumovirus-attributable burden estimates† | |
---|---|---|---|
Human metapneumovirus-attributable ALRI cases (millions) | 78%‡ | 14·2 (10·2–20·1) | 11·1 (8·0–15·7) |
Human metapneumovirus-attributable ALRI hospital admissions (thousands) | 78% | 643 (425–977) | 502 (332–762) |
Human metapneumovirus-attributable ALRI deaths | 70%§ | 16 100 (5700–88 000) | 11 300 (UR 4000–61 600) |
Data in parentheses are uncertainty ranges. ALRI=acute lower respiratory tract infection.
The proportion of human metapneumovirus-positive cases and deaths attributable to human metapneumovirus.
Applying the corresponding attributable fraction to the estimates of human metapneumovirus-associated burden.
The attributable fraction for human metapneumovirus-associated ALRI cases was calculated using odds ratios from a systematic review and two multi-country studies; the median odds ratio from the three studies was input to yield the attributable fraction for human metapneumovirus-ALRI cases (78%); all references are in the appendix (p 18).
The attributable fraction for human metapneumovirus-associated ALRI deaths was modelled using the attributable fraction for human metapneumovirus cases and the ratio of case-fatality between human metapneumovirus-attributable cases and human metapneumovirus-associated cases (appendix pp 17–18).