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. 2021 Jan 4;181(4):439–448. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.7968

Table 2. Associations Between Clinical Risk Factors and 30-Day All-Cause Mortality in Symptomatic Nursing Home Residents Who Tested Positive for SARS-CoV-2.

Risk factor Patients with COVID-19, No. Deaths, No. (%) Odds ratio (95% CI)
Univariable Multivariable
Age group, y
<65 765 44 (6) 0.24 (0.16-0.37) 0.23 (0.15-0.34)
65-69 539 67 (12) 0.57 (0.41-0.80) 0.56 (0.40-0.78)
70-74 687 108 (16) 0.74 (0.54-1.02) 0.74 (0.55-1.01)
75-79 697 138 (20) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
80-84 789 215 (27) 1.47 (1.15-1.89) 1.46 (1.14-1.86)
85-89 784 222 (28) 1.55 (1.20-2.01) 1.59 (1.25-2.03)
≥90 994 334 (34) 1.90 (1.53-2.36) 2.14 (1.70-2.69)
Sex
Male 2051 451 (22) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Female 3185 671 (21) 0.90 (0.78-1.04) 0.69 (0.60-0.80)
Race/ethnicity
White 3741 859 (23) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Black 909 164 (18) 0.75 (0.61-0.92) 0.77 (0.62-0.96)
Othera 586 99 (17) 0.67 (0.50-0.89) 0.60 (0.45-0.81)
ADL score
0-13 1327 209 (16) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
14-18 1320 221 (17) 1.05 (0.84-1.32) 0.98 (0.77-1.25)
19-20 1179 288 (24) 1.77 (1.41-2.23) 1.49 (1.18-1.88)
21-28 1410 404 (29) 2.15 (1.71-2.70) 1.64 (1.30-2.08)
Cognitive function
Cognitively intact 2023 275 (14) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Impairment
Mild 1179 202 (17) 1.28 (1.04-1.59) 1.11 (0.89-1.39)
Moderate 1547 469 (30) 2.61 (2.14-3.19) 2.09 (1.68-2.59)
Severe 463 165 (36) 3.36 (2.58-4.39) 2.79 (2.14-3.66)
Comorbidities
Heart failure
No 4035 870 (22) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 1201 252 (21) 0.95 (0.78-1.15) 0.90 (0.74-1.10)
Coronary artery disease
No 4009 841 (21) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 1227 281 (23) 1.14 (0.97-1.33) 1.03 (0.86-1.23)
Asthma or COPD
No 3870 850 (22) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 1366 272 (20) 0.90 (0.77-1.06) 1.00 (0.84-1.17)
Chronic kidney disease
No 3851 783 (20) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 1385 339 (24) 1.29 (1.08-1.54) 1.33 (1.11-1.61)
Hypertension
No 1120 247 (22) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 4116 875 (21) 1.00 (0.84-1.19) 0.81 (0.69-0.96)
Type 2 diabetes
No 3124 695 (22) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 2112 427 (20) 0.87 (0.76-0.99) 1.21 (1.05-1.40)
Symptoms
Fever
No 2602 472 (18) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 2654 657 (25) 1.54 (1.33-1.78) 1.66 (1.41-1.96)
Shortness of breath
No 4674 905 (19) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 582 224 (38) 2.78 (2.29-3.38) 2.52 (2.00-3.16)
Tachycardia
No 4356 886 (20) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 900 243 (27) 1.96 (1.60, 2.41) 1.31 (1.04-1.64)
Hypoxia
No 4277 798 (19) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Yes 979 331 (34) 2.15 (1.76-2.62) 2.05 (1.68-2.50)

Abbreviations: ADL, activities of daily living; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

a

Includes the following groups: Asian, Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and American Indian or Alaska Native.