Table 3.
DMS III (1997) | DMS IV (2005) | DMS V (2014) | DMS 7 2030 | Number of MT change 2030–1997 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Parameter |
Population (million) |
MT sum (million) | Mean MT |
Population (million) |
MT sum (million) | Mean MT |
Population (million) |
MT sum (million) | Mean MT |
Population (million) |
MT sum (million) | Mean MT | MT diff (million) | relative (%) | |
(a) 35 to 44 years old | |||||||||||||||
Total | 12.7 | 49.5 | 3.9 | 13.9 | 33.4 | 2.4 | 9.9 | 20.8 | 2.1 | 10.6 | 13.8 | 1.3 | −36 | −72 | |
Sex | Male | 6.4 | 23.7 | 3.7 | 7.1 | 31.1 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 1.0 | −18 | −77 |
Female | 6.3 | 25.1 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 15.7 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 1.4 | −18 | −71 | |
Educational level | Low | 3.8 | 20.6 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 2.3 | −15 | −74 |
Medium | 5.1 | 18.8 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 14.8 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 1.6 | −13 | −69 | |
High | 5.2 | 13.5 | 2.6 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | −9 | −66 | |
Smoking pattern | Never | 5.2 | 16.7 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 1.0 | −11 | −69 |
Former | 2.8 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | −7 | −86 | |
Current | 4.8 | 24.1 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 16.5 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 1.6 | −19 | −79 | |
(b) 65 to 74 years old | |||||||||||||||
Total | 7.4 | 130.2 | 17.6 | 9.2 | 129.7 | 14.1 | 8.4 | 93.2 | 11.1 | 11.6 | 65.0 | 5.6 | −65 | −50 | |
Sex | Male | 3.2 | 52.5 | 16.4 | 4.3 | 56.8 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 42.9 | 11.0 | 5.6 | 30.2 | 5.4 | −22 | −42 |
Female | 4.2 | 77.3 | 18.4 | 4.9 | 77.9 | 15.9 | 4.5 | 50.4 | 11.2 | 6.0 | 46.8 | 7.8 | −30 | −39 | |
Educational level | Low | 5.6 | 103.8 | 18.7 | 6.1 | 66.2 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 51.6 | 12.8 | 3.1 | 18.2 | 5.8 | −86 | −82 |
Medium | 1.0 | 14.2 | 14.8 | 1.3 | 10.6 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 20.9 | 5.0 | −7 | −47 | |
High | 0.9 | 11.5 | 13.5 | 1.6 | 21.1 | 13.5 | 2.2 | 16.0 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 18.9 | 4.4 | −7 | −64 | |
Smoking pattern | Never | 4.7 | 79.7 | 17.1 | 5.7 | 77.6 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 44.7 | 9.5 | 7.1 | 37.5 | 5.3 | −42 | −53 |
Former | 2.1 | 35.2 | 17.0 | 2.9 | 49.1 | 17.2 | 2.8 | 33.3 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 23.0 | 6.6 | −12 | −35 | |
Current | 0.7 | 15.5 | 21.0 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 12.0 | 0.9 | 14.4 | 15.6 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 7.9 | −7 | −47 |