Table 3.
Country | Methods | Predict days | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-day ahead | 3-day ahead | 5-day ahead | 10-day ahead | 15-day ahead | |||||||
MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | MAPE | RMSE | ||
Worldwide | LR | 7.22 | 2092.62 | 6.56 | 2102.11 | 6.01 | 2162.48 | 6.86 | 2189.33 | 7.08 | 2199.49 |
SVR | 3.65 | 465.50 | 6.63 | 483.35 | 3.18 | 528.18 | 3.56 | 546.71 | 3.93 | 596.33 | |
RFR | 6.80 | 1762.12 | 6.43 | 1792.36 | 5.39 | 1820.11 | 6.44 | 1840.24 | 5.40 | 1863.75 | |
LSTM | 2.06 | 293.96 | 2.86 | 324.73 | 2.18 | 366.16 | 2.66 | 411.32 | 2.91 | 460.18 | |
MTGP (Proposed) | 1.16 | 122.97 | 1.27 | 166.18 | 1.15 | 206.23 | 1.45 | 286.36 | 1.48 | 331.27 | |
China | LR | 3.5 | 688.21 | 3.57 | 713.79 | 3.81 | 723.53 | 3.63 | 774.18 | 3.51 | 798.90 |
SVR | 1.50 | 220.92 | 1.56 | 241.42 | 1.78 | 285.16 | 1.75 | 334.94 | 1.83 | 359.89 | |
RFR | 2.60 | 457.70 | 2.59 | 461.93 | 2.69 | 512.35 | 2.80 | 551.37 | 2.90 | 595.40 | |
LSTM | 1.10 | 178.93 | 1.19 | 198.24 | 1.28 | 212.75 | 1.31 | 241.13 | 1.37 | 256.5 | |
MTGP (Proposed) | 0.70 | 119.84 | 0.82 | 129.81 | 0.85 | 139.10 | 0.88 | 148.86 | 0.92 | 154.74 | |
India | LR | 6.40 | 2125.89 | 6.77 | 2151.64 | 6.98 | 2175.23 | 7.32 | 2267.69 | 7.50 | 2297.94 |
SVR | 3.72 | 537.20 | 3.80 | 557.08 | 4.27 | 582.32 | 4.38 | 608.1 | 4.54 | 619.73 | |
RFR | 5.29 | 1837.49 | 5.54 | 1873.55 | 5.97 | 1908.22 | 6.07 | 1958.13 | 6.39 | 2060.97 | |
LSTM | 2.91 | 367.36 | 3.09 | 389.50 | 3.45 | 407.83 | 3.59 | 435.97 | 3.65 | 440.86 | |
MTGP (Proposed) | 2.10 | 197.35 | 2.38 | 222.13 | 2.54 | 232.85 | 2.74 | 262.92 | 2.77 | 280.19 | |
Italy | LR | 7.25 | 1706.76 | 7.43 | 1754.17 | 7.59 | 1782.82 | 7.65 | 1805.70 | 7.97 | 1822.05 |
SVR | 2.93 | 393.16 | 3.14 | 405.75 | 3.50 | 425.67 | 3.68 | 449.53 | 3.83 | 486.87 | |
RFR | 5.46 | 1542.48 | 5.49 | 1584.83 | 5.7 | 1604.12 | 5.95 | 1659.67 | 6.03 | 1665.71 | |
LSTM | 2.11 | 287.50 | 2.20 | 297.13 | 2.53 | 318.87 | 2.75 | 337.5 | 2.92 | 376.14 | |
MTGP (Proposed) | 1.27 | 182.38 | 1.42 | 190.13 | 1.65 | 215.73 | 1.74 | 225.51 | 1.88 | 257.24 | |
USA | LR | 7.21 | 2033.71 | 7.69 | 2070.22 | 7.87 | 2190.84 | 8.18 | 2250.66 | 8.36 | 2183.56 |
SVR | 3.48 | 408.4 | 3.84 | 467.32 | 3.97 | 483.36 | 4.08 | 497.20 | 4.21 | 513.02 | |
RFR | 6.05 | 1679.66 | 6.32 | 1772.70 | 6.57 | 1785.79 | 6.71 | 1862.87 | 6.95 | 1894.36 | |
LSTM | 2.80 | 302.64 | 3.05 | 336.47 | 3.19 | 360.12 | 3.31 | 378.43 | 3.45 | 395.50 | |
MTGP (Proposed) | 1.89 | 196.85 | 2.07 | 203.79 | 2.35 | 235.01 | 2.59 | 258.50 | 2.65 | 274.12 |