Skip to main content
. 2020 Sep 28;51(3):1492–1512. doi: 10.1007/s10489-020-01889-9

Table 3.

Performance evaluation of the prediction algorithms (confirmed cases)

Country Methods Predict days
1-day ahead 3-day ahead 5-day ahead 10-day ahead 15-day ahead
MAPE RMSE MAPE RMSE MAPE RMSE MAPE RMSE MAPE RMSE
Worldwide LR 7.22 2092.62 6.56 2102.11 6.01 2162.48 6.86 2189.33 7.08 2199.49
SVR 3.65 465.50 6.63 483.35 3.18 528.18 3.56 546.71 3.93 596.33
RFR 6.80 1762.12 6.43 1792.36 5.39 1820.11 6.44 1840.24 5.40 1863.75
LSTM 2.06 293.96 2.86 324.73 2.18 366.16 2.66 411.32 2.91 460.18
MTGP (Proposed) 1.16 122.97 1.27 166.18 1.15 206.23 1.45 286.36 1.48 331.27
China LR 3.5 688.21 3.57 713.79 3.81 723.53 3.63 774.18 3.51 798.90
SVR 1.50 220.92 1.56 241.42 1.78 285.16 1.75 334.94 1.83 359.89
RFR 2.60 457.70 2.59 461.93 2.69 512.35 2.80 551.37 2.90 595.40
LSTM 1.10 178.93 1.19 198.24 1.28 212.75 1.31 241.13 1.37 256.5
MTGP (Proposed) 0.70 119.84 0.82 129.81 0.85 139.10 0.88 148.86 0.92 154.74
India LR 6.40 2125.89 6.77 2151.64 6.98 2175.23 7.32 2267.69 7.50 2297.94
SVR 3.72 537.20 3.80 557.08 4.27 582.32 4.38 608.1 4.54 619.73
RFR 5.29 1837.49 5.54 1873.55 5.97 1908.22 6.07 1958.13 6.39 2060.97
LSTM 2.91 367.36 3.09 389.50 3.45 407.83 3.59 435.97 3.65 440.86
MTGP (Proposed) 2.10 197.35 2.38 222.13 2.54 232.85 2.74 262.92 2.77 280.19
Italy LR 7.25 1706.76 7.43 1754.17 7.59 1782.82 7.65 1805.70 7.97 1822.05
SVR 2.93 393.16 3.14 405.75 3.50 425.67 3.68 449.53 3.83 486.87
RFR 5.46 1542.48 5.49 1584.83 5.7 1604.12 5.95 1659.67 6.03 1665.71
LSTM 2.11 287.50 2.20 297.13 2.53 318.87 2.75 337.5 2.92 376.14
MTGP (Proposed) 1.27 182.38 1.42 190.13 1.65 215.73 1.74 225.51 1.88 257.24
USA LR 7.21 2033.71 7.69 2070.22 7.87 2190.84 8.18 2250.66 8.36 2183.56
SVR 3.48 408.4 3.84 467.32 3.97 483.36 4.08 497.20 4.21 513.02
RFR 6.05 1679.66 6.32 1772.70 6.57 1785.79 6.71 1862.87 6.95 1894.36
LSTM 2.80 302.64 3.05 336.47 3.19 360.12 3.31 378.43 3.45 395.50
MTGP (Proposed) 1.89 196.85 2.07 203.79 2.35 235.01 2.59 258.50 2.65 274.12