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. 2021 Jan 6;28(16):20240–20246. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-11859-w

Table 2.

Let now = “2020-02-05,” prediction with BFMT method and BFMnT method

Real onset cases Predictions
BFMT BFMnT
2020-01-30 192 [186.4, 200.5] [139.6, 141.5]
2020-01-31 184 [177.3, 201.1] [159.7, 162.8]
2020-02-01 198 [194.2, 204.7] [167.3, 173.4]
2020-02-02 123 [115.1, 134.4] [105.3, 110.3]
2020-02-03 120 [104.9, 136.4] [105.4, 137.2]