Table 2.
Variable | Study Population |
Adjusted Relative Risk or Hazard Rate Ratio (95% CI) |
---|---|---|
Target population | ||
No. of hospitalizations | 43,949 | |
No. of patients | 35,669 | |
ICU admission within 30 days after alert | 0.91 (0.84–0.98) | |
Death within 30 days after alert | 0.84 (0.78–0.90) | |
Favorable status at 30 days after alert† | 1.04 (1.02–1.06) | |
Hospital discharge, as assessed by proportional-hazards analysis | 1.07 (1.03–1.11) | |
Survival, as assessed by proportional-hazards analysis | 0.83 (0.78–0.89) | |
Nontarget population | ||
No. of hospitalizations | 504,889 | |
No. of patients | 313,115 | |
ICU admission within 30 days after admission | 0.94 (0.89–0.99) | |
Death within 30 days after admission | 0.97 (0.93–1.02) | |
Favorable status 30 days after admission† | 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | |
Hospital discharge, as assessed by proportional-hazards analysis | 0.98 (0.97–0.99) | |
Survival, as assessed by proportional-hazards analysis | 0.99 (0.96–1.03) |
The analysis included 548,838 hospitalizations and 326,816 patients (a patient could be included in both the target and nontarget populations, so the numbers of patients do not sum to 326,816). For the first three analyses (ICU admission, mortality, and favorable status within 30 days after an alert), the adjusted relative risk is for whether the patient was in the intervention condition (alerts led to a clinical response), as compared with patients in the comparison condition (usual care, with no alerts). For the nontarget population, the analytic approach was the same as for the target population, except that the cohorts involved patients on the ward whose condition did not trigger an alert; since there was no alert, we used 30-day mortality. We used Cox proportional-hazard models to assess the effects of the intervention on the hospital length of stay, with censoring of a patient’s data at the time of death, and long-term survival (median follow-up in the target population, 0.8 years [IQR, 0.1 to 1.8]; median follow-up in the nontarget population, 1.4 years [IQR, 0.5 to 2.4]; maximum follow-up in both populations, 3.6 years). For the hospital length of stay, the hazard rate ratio refers to the instantaneous rate of discharge from the hospital divided by the instantaneous rate of discharge from the hospital in the comparison group; a rate ratio greater than 1 indicates that the intervention shortened the time to discharge. The hazard rate ratio corresponding to long-term survival refers to the long-term mortality in the intervention group as compared with the comparison group; a ratio lower than 1 indicates lower mortality in the intervention group. Additional details are provided by Harrell,34 Basu et al.,35 Hosmer and Lemeshow,36 and Mihaylova et al.37 Confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated with the use of bootstrapping to control for within-facility and within-patient correlations; see Goldstein et al.39
Favorable status at 30 days indicates that, at 30 days after an alert (in the target population) or at 30 days after admission (in the nontarget population) the patient was alive, was not in the hospital, and had not been readmitted at any time.