Table 3.
RMSEs of the models estimated with a rolling window for successive nowcasting horizons between 2000Q2 and 2018Q4
| RW | 2FLM | 20FLM | BDT | RF | GBM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First prediction | 0.626 | 0.631 | 0.498 | 0.503 | 0.491 | 0.519 |
| Second prediction | 0.679 | 0.635 | 0.494 | 0.474 | 0.468 | 0.484 |
| Third prediction | 0.699 | 0.616 | 0.487 | 0.453 | 0.447 | 0.470 |
| Fourth prediction | 0.507 | 0.564 | 0.457 | 0.406 | 0.403 | 0.433 |
| Fifth prediction | 0.517 | 0.496 | 0.403 | 0.348 | 0.346 | 0.385 |
| Sixth prediction | 0.538 | 0.418 | 0.371 | 0.323 | 0.321 | 0.342 |
| Average | 0.594 | 0.560 | 0.452 | 0.418 | 0.413 | 0.439 |
For abbreviations see Table 1