Agent based model |
Stochastic |
38 countries or provinces in Asia, Europe and North America (Kai & Guy-PhilippeGoldstein, 2020), Singapore (Koo, Cook, Park, & Sun, 2020) |
The impact of universal Masking (Kai & Guy-PhilippeGoldstein, 2020), the likelihood of human-to-human transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (Koo et al., 2020) |
(Kai & Guy-PhilippeGoldstein, 2020; Koo et al., 2020) |
Branching process model |
Stochastic |
Wuhan |
The impact of contact tracing and isolation |
Hellewell et al. (2020) |
Bayesian method |
Stochastic |
Outside Hubei in Chinese mainland(J. Zhang et al., 2020, Zhang et al., 2020), China(Verity, Okell, Dorigatti, & Winskill, 2020), Singapore, Tianjin(Ganyani et al., 2020) |
R0, Incubation period, serial interval (J. Zhang et al., 2020, Zhang et al., 2020), age-stratified estimates of CFR and IFR (Verity et al., 2020), generation interval (Ganyani et al., 2020) |
(Ganyani et al., 2020; Verity et al., 2020; J.; Zhang et al., 2020, Zhang et al., 2020) |
Generalized Linear Models |
Stochastic |
China |
Incubation period, the effect of human mobility and control measures |
Kraemer et al. (2020) |
Generalized growth model |
Stochastic |
Lima (Munayco et al., 2020), Iran (Muniz-Rodriguez et al., 2020), South Korea (Shim, Tariq, Choi, Lee, & Chowell, 2020) |
R0(Munayco et al., 2020; Muniz-Rodriguez et al., 2020; Shim et al., 2020), the impact of social distancing (Munayco et al., 2020; Muniz-Rodriguez et al., 2020),doubling time (Shim et al., 2020) |
(Munayco et al., 2020; Muniz-Rodriguez et al., 2020; Shim et al., 2020) |
Linear growth & exponential growth model |
Stochastic |
Italy, Japan |
The effect of the changes in testing rates on epidemic growth rate |
Omori, Mizumoto, and Chowell (2020) |
Exponential growth |
Stochastic |
China |
R0 (Thompson, 2020; S. Zhao, Q. Li, Pei, et al., 2020; S. Zhao et al., 2020, Zhao et al., 2020, Zhao et al., 2020), the estimates of the unreported number of COVID-19 (Zhao et al., 2020, Zhao et al., 2020, Zhao et al., 2020), the risk of sustained transmission (Thompson, 2020), the impact of reporting rate (S. Zhao, Q. Li, Pei, et al., 2020) |
(Thompson, 2020; S. Zhao, Q. Li, Pei, et al., 2020; Zhao et al., 2020, Zhao et al., 2020, Zhao et al., 2020) |
Second derivative model |
Stochastic |
China |
The assessment the detection rate |
Chen and Yu (2020) |
Poisson Transmission Model |
Stochastic |
China |
R0 |
Zhu and Chen (2020) |
Segmented Poisson model |
Stochastic |
Canada, France, Germany, Italy, UK and USA |
Turning point, duration and attack rate |
Zhang et al., 2020, Zhang et al., 2020
|
Analytically solvable model |
Stochastic |
China |
The estimates of the contribution of different transmission routes, generation time |
Ferretti et al. (2020) |
Gaussian distribution theory |
Stochastic |
China, South Korea, Italy, Iran |
R0, incubation period |
(L. Li, Pei, et al., 2020) |
Phenomenological models |
Stochastic |
China, Hubei(Roosa et al., 2020a), Guangdong, Zhejiang(Roosa et al., 2020b) |
Short-term prediction of cumulative confirmed cases |
(Roosa et al., 2020a, 2020b) |
Transmission model with zoonotic infections |
Stochastic |
Wuhan |
R0, doubling time, incubation period, serial interval |
(Q. Li, Pei, et al., 2020) |
Data-driven and model-free estimations |
– |
Canada |
The prediction of epidemic trends with different public health interventions, mortality |
Scarabel, Pellis, Bragazzi, and Wu (2020) |