Table 2.
Parameter values and their ranges and distributions for the hypothetical case study
Parameter | Base case | Type of range | Range | Distribution | Distribution parameters | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survival parameters | Mean | SD | ||||
PFS λ comparator | 0.25 | 95% CI | 0.100–0.400 | Normal | 0.25 | 0.077 |
PFS λ intervention | 0.05 | 95% CI | 0.017–0.083 | Normal | 0.05 | 0.017 |
OS λ comparator | 0.03 | 95% CI | 0.021–0.039 | Normal | 0.03 | 0.005 |
OS HR intervention | 1.00 | 95% CI | 0.800–1.250 | Lognormal | 1.00 | 0.114 |
Utility parameters | Alpha | Beta | ||||
Utility PFS | 0.80 | 95% CI | 0.610–0.930 | Beta | 17.80 | 4.70 |
Utility PPS | 0.50 | 95% CI | 0.200–0.800 | Beta | 4.54 | 4.54 |
Cost parameters | Mean | SD | ||||
Costs PFS (€) | 1200 | ± 50% | 600–1800 | Normal | 1200 | 306 |
Costs PPS (€) | 2000 | ± 25% | 1500–2500 | Normal | 2000 | 255 |
Costs death (€) | 1500 | ± 25% | 1125–1875 | Normal | 1500 | 191 |
Costs intervention (€) | 750 | ± 25% | 563–938 | Uniform | N/A | N/A |
Discount rates | ||||||
Discount rate costs | 3.5% | Fixed range | 0.015–0.055 | Uniform | N/A | N/A |
Discount rate benefits | 3.5% | Fixed range | 0.015–0.055 | Uniform | N/A | N/A |
CI confidence interval, HR hazard ratio, OS overall survival, PFS progression-free survival, PPS post-progression survival, N/A not applicable, SD standard deviation