Table 2.
Scenarios for the simulation set-up
| Number of trials per comparison | |
| typical loop | NO = 1, NP = 3, OP = 4 |
| Trial size ( in trial i) | |
| < 50 (small) | ni~U(12, 39) placebo-controlled trials |
| ni~U(15, 49) old-controlled trials | |
| > 100 (moderate) |
ni~U(102, 187) placebo-controlled trials ni~U(128, 241) old-controlled trials |
| Initial event rates of the control arm in trial i | |
| low events | placebo-controlled trials |
| old-controlled trials | |
| frequent events | placebo-controlled trials |
| old-controlled trials | |
| Unbalanced risk of missing outcome data ( in trial i) | |
| moderate | , |
| large | , |
| Missingness mechanisms via log IMOR | |
| informative | φi, P~TN(μ = − log (2), σ2 = 1, a = log (1)) |
| φi, k~TN(μ = log (2), σ2 = 1, a = log (1)) k = N, O | |
| Treatment effects | |
| basic parameters | LORNP = ln (2), LOROP = ln (1.5) |
| functional parameter | LORNO = LORNP − LOROP (consistency equation) |
| Common between-trial variance | |
| predictive distribution |
τ2~LΝ(−3.95, 1.342) (small) τ2~LΝ(−2.56, 1.742) (substantial) |
Note: C Control; E Experimental arm; IMOR Informative missingness odds ratio; LN Log-normal distribution; LOR Log odds ratio; N New intervention; O Old intervention; P Placebo; T Truncated normal distribution; U Uniform distribution
Typical loop as defined by Veroniki et al. [32]
Using predictive log-normal distributions that correspond to all-cause mortality and generic health setting for small and substantial between-trial variance, respectively [33]