Table 3.

State-level tracking model RMSE (h = 1 week/h = 2 weeks).

Signal	NM	DC	DE	NY
SARIMA-HIST	97.70/146.93	32.85/53.62	58.26/90.21	643.18/1270.72
SARIMA-MRP	78.72/113.73	26.59/38.88	54.27/82.07	503.29/952.86
SARIMA-A1	82.53/128.41	27.42/39.74	58.44/88.70	513.75/935.47

Bold text indicates minimum values.