Table 4.
Meta-analysis | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prognostic factor | OR (95% CI) | Overall quality | ||||||
Alcohol abuse | 1.08 (0.96–1.20) | 6 (++++) | ||||||
BMI < 18.5 vs. normal | 1.15 (0.45–2.98) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
BMI 25–30 vs. normal | 0.91 (0.80–1.03) | 6 (++++) | ||||||
BMI 30–35 vs. normal | 0.90 (0.80–1.02) | 6 (++++) | ||||||
BMI 35–40 vs. normal | 0.84 (0.69–1.02) | 6 (++++) | ||||||
BMI > 40 vs. normal | 1.05 (0.84–1.31) | 6 (++++) | ||||||
Obesity | 1.06 (1.02–1.09) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Weight loss | 0.95 (0.71–1.27) | 3 (++) | ||||||
Arrhythmias and AF combined | 1.14 (1.09–1.19) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) + coronary artery disease (CAD) + cardiac disease | 1.29 (0.79–2.09) | 3 (++) | ||||||
Peripheral vascular disease | 1.17 (1.10–1.24) | 5 (+++) | ||||||
Previous myocardial infarction, or coronary artery disease | 1.18 (0.29–4.88) | 3 (++) | ||||||
Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) | 1.08 (0.80–1.45) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Liver disease | 1.29 (1.20–1.39) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Peptic ulcer disease | 0.94 (0.84–1.07) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Anaemia | 1.19 (1.15–1.24) | 6 (++++) | ||||||
Deficiency anaemias | 1.06 (1.01–1.11) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Coagulopathy | 1.25 (1.15–1.36) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Fluid and electrolyte disorder | 1.05 (1.00–1.12) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Chronic pulmonary disease | 1.28 (1.22–1.34) | 3 (++) | ||||||
Paralysis | 1.13 (0.97–1.31) | 4 (+++) | ||||||
Psychiatric disorder | 1.43 (1.12–1.70) | 3 (++) | ||||||
Smoking | 1.25 (0.82–1.91) | 5 (+++) | ||||||
Rheumatologic disorder | 1.11 (1.04–1.18) | 3 (++) | ||||||
Narrative Synthesis | ||||||||
Prognostic factor | Univariate | Multivariate | Overall quality | |||||
+ | 0 | - | + | 0 | - | |||
Composite comorbidity indices | ||||||||
Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) 1-2 (reference category = 0) | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | 6 (++++) | |
CCI 1 (reference category = 0) | - | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | 6 (++++) | |
CCI 2 (reference category = 0) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (++++) | |
CCI ≥2 (reference category = 0) | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | - | 6 (++++) | |
CCI 3-4 (reference category = 0) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
CCI ≥3 (reference category = 0) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
CCI 5+ (reference category = 0) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Increasing CCI | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 3 (++) | |
Presence of any comorbidity | 1 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Increasing American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) classification (reference category = 2) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Increasing ASA classification (reference category = 1) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
ASA classification (other) | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Increasing Elixhauser Index | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Increasing DRG (Diagnosis-related group) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Cardiovascular | ||||||||
Hypertension | 2 | 2 | - | 6 | 1 | - | 5 (+++) | |
Hyperlipidaemia | 1 | 1 | - | - | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Cardiac disease | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Congestive Cardiac/Heart Failure (CCF/CHF) | 3 | - | - | 5 | 2 | - | 5 (+++) | |
Valvular disease | 1 | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | 3 (++) | |
Peripheral vascular disease | 1 | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | 3 (++) | |
History of percutaneous coronary intervention or cardiac surgery | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (+) | |
BMI, obesity, and weight loss | ||||||||
BMI (continuous) | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
BMI underweight (reference category = overweight (25–30)) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
BMI normal weight (reference category = overweight (25–30)) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
BMI obese (reference category = overweight (25–30)) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
BMI very obese (reference category = overweight (25–30)) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
BMI morbidly obese (reference category = overweight (25–30)) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
BMI > 30 (reference category = normal weight) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 2 (+) | |
Increasing BMI (reference category = <25) | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 (+) | |
Obesity | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Morbid obesity | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 2 (+) | |
Weight loss | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
Endocrine | ||||||||
Diabetes (general category and Peskun type two diabetes mellitus (T2DM)) | - | 1 | - | 5 | 4 | - | 3 (++) | |
Diabetes (with complications) | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Diabetes (without complications) | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
NIDDM | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
Hypothyroidism | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | 5 (+++) | |
Gastrointestinal | ||||||||
Liver disease | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Haematological | ||||||||
Anaemia | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 (+++) | |
Anaemia (blood loss) | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
Anaemia (deficiency) | 1 | - | - | - | 2 | - | 3 (++) | |
Bleeding disorders | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Coagulopathy | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Anticoagulant therapy | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Increasing INR | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Fluid and electrolyte disorder | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Elevated serum blood urea nitrogen (BUN) | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Hyponatraemia | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
Low albumin | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Elevated creatinine | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Elevated WBC count | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Reduced haematocrit | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Low platelets | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Respiratory | ||||||||
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and chronic airways disease (combined) | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Pulmonary disease | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
Smoking | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Pulmonary circulation disorder | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Asthma | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 (+) | |
Dyspnoea | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | 3 (++) | |
Previous pneumonia | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 3 (++) | |
Obstructive sleep apnoea | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 (+) | |
Cardiopulmonary disease | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 0 (+) | |
Psychiatric | ||||||||
Depression | 1 | 2 | - | 3 | 1 | - | 5 (+++) | |
‘Other’ mental health condition (other than depression) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Bipolar disorder | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 (+) | |
Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 1 (+) | |
Anxiety disorder | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 2 (+) | |
Alcohol abuse | 1 | 2 | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Drug abuse (including general substance abuse designation, and drug/alcohol abuse (combined category in Kurtz)) | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Psychoses | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (+) | |
Neoplastic | ||||||||
History of cancer | 1 | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
Disseminated cancer | 1 | - | - | 1 | 2 | - | 3 (++) | |
Lymphoma | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Neurological | ||||||||
Previous stroke | - | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 4 (+++) | |
Dementia | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Other neurological disorder | 1 | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | 3 (++) | |
In-hospital complications | ||||||||
Deep vein thrombosis | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Pulmonary embolism | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Any complication | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 6 (++++) | |
Any medical complication | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Any surgical complication | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Urinary tract infection | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Surgical site infection | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Sepsis | 1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (+++) | |
Cardiac (including cardiac arrest and myocardial infarction) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (+++) | |
Pneumonia | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Acute renal failure | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 5 (+++) | |
Cerebrovascular accident (CVA) or transient ischaemic attach (TIA) | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Renal | ||||||||
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) | 1 | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | 5 (+++) | |
Dialysis dependence | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 (++) | |
Renal failure–acute, preoperative | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 4 (++) | |
Renal failure/disease–chronicity unspecified | 1 | - | - | 5 | - | - | 6 (++++) | |
Rheumatological and autoimmune | ||||||||
Rheumatoid arthritis/collagen vascular diseases | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Steroid or other immunosuppressant use for chronic condition | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Other | ||||||||
Preoperative opioid use | - | - | - | 2 | 1 | - | 3 (++) | |
Post-discharge opioid use | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 1 (+) | |
Preoperative medication use (general) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 3 (++) | |
Preoperative medication use (analgesics) | - | - | - | 1 | - | 1 (+) | ||
Preoperative medication use (anticonvulsants) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | 2 (+) | |
Preoperative medication use (Serotonin–norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor (SNRIs)) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Preoperative medication use (Tricyclic antidepressants (TCAs)) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Preoperative medication use (sedatives) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 2 (+) | |
Wound class | 1 | - | - | - | 2 | - | 4 (+++) |
Overall quality: + very low quality = very little confidence in the effect estimate: true effect likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect; ++ low quality = confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the study; +++ moderate quality = moderately confident in the effect estimate: true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different; ++++ high quality = very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.