Table 2.
Predicted probabilities of COVID-19 infection in Vermont between April 20 and May 13, 2020.
| Respondent characteristic | Model 1: probability of COVID-19 infection: children contact modela | P value | Model 2: probability of COVID-19 infection: adult contact modela | P value | Model 3: probability of COVID-19 infection: older adult contact modela | P value |
| Number of contacts with children (those aged 0-17 years) | –0.0104 (0.0403) | .88 | N/Ab | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Number of contacts with Adults (those aged 18-64 years) | N/A | N/A | 0.0118 (0.0059) | .03 | N/A | N/A |
| Number of contacts with older adults (those aged ≥65 years) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0122 (0.0063) | .05 |
| Number of contacts with people who tested positive for COVID-19 | 0.5359 (0.2111) | .04 | 0.4406 (0.2243) | .16 | 0.5356 (0.2123) | .42 |
| Aged ≥45 years | 0.2038 (0.3701) | .36 | 0.2432 (0.3854) | .27 | 0.2484 (0.3846) | .29 |
| Female | –0.0766 (0.3404) | .77 | 0.0501 (0.3632) | .53 | –0.0025 (0.3567) | .65 |
| High income | –0.3967 (0.3402) | .15 | –0.3377 (0.3480) | .18 | –0.4023 (0.3484) | .14 |
| Any symptoms | 0.3969 (0.3579) | .08 | 0.4159 (0.3703) | .07 | 0.4052 (0.3661) | .07 |
| Diabetes | 0.1394 (0.6342) | .96 | –0.4759 (0.9156) | .46 | –0.1672 (0.7184) | .68 |
| Observations | 413 | N/A | 413 | N/A | 413 | N/A |
aProbit regression marginal effects with standard errors in parentheses. Pseudo R2: 0.42.
bN/A: not applicable.