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. 2021 Jan 12;12:333. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-19798-3

Table 1.

Scenarios of an immediate intervention in May 2, 2020, with variations of the transmission rate and intervention length.

Percentage of transmission rate reduction Intervention length (days) Date of hospitalization beds collapse (delay, in days, compared to baseline scenario) Date of ICU beds collapse (delay, in days, compared to baseline scenario)
7 05/11/20 (2) 05/17/20 (4)
25% 14 05/11/20 (2) 05/20/20 (7)
30 05/11/20 (2) 05/21/20 (8)
7 05/15/20 (6) 05/21/20 (8)
50% 14 05/24/20 (15) 05/31/20 (18)
30 06/17/20 (39) 06/23/20 (41)
7 05/22/20 (13) 05/27/20 (14)
75% 14 06/08/20 (30) 06/13/20 (31)
30 07/17/20 (69) 07/21/20 (69)