Table 2.
Correlations between interest rate, growth, and interest-growth differential
AE | EM | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pooling | Average | Pooling | Average | |||
Correlation | p value | Correlation | Correlation | p value | Correlation | |
Full sample | ||||||
− 0.46 | 0.00 | − 0.49 | − 0.31 | 0.00 | − 0.41 | |
0.89 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0.82 | 0.00 | 0.72 | |
r, g | − 0.02 | 0.32 | − 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
N | 2789 | 2789 | 2789 | 1468 | 1468 | 1468 |
Post-WWII | ||||||
− 0.51 | 0.00 | − 0.55 | − 0.30 | 0.00 | − 0.41 | |
0.92 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.71 | |
r, g | − 0.15 | 0.00 | − 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.01 | − 0.01 |
N | 1579 | 1579 | 1579 | 1273 | 1273 | 1273 |
This table presents the correlations between average effective interest rate, growth, and interest-growth differential by time periods. The results for advanced economies and emerging economies are presented in the left and right panel, respectively. The second and fifth columns show the correlations by pooling all the observations, and the p values are shown in the third and sixth columns. The fourth and seventh columns show the averages of within-country correlations. Post-WWII period is from 1950 to 2018