Table 2. Historical MAPE per model—Metropolitan Region.

1st week								2nd week
Date	Ensemble	ARIMAX	MLPR	ELM	TBATS	GMDH	ICD	Ensemble	ARIMAX	MLPR	ELM	TBATS	GMDH	ICD
2020-05-20	2.34	4.79	2.37	6.64	1.38		4.21	5.59	14.70	15.45	4.19	7.36		22.24
2020-05-22	5.15	4.68	7.21	8.21	7.63		6.86	6.95	4.00	3.03	9.91	3.30		37.49
2020-05-24	4.94	1.86	0.96	2.60	2.27		19.32	25.09	5.65	5.56	2.46	10.07		85.79
2020-05-26	8.64	4.42	3.33	4.68	4.29		21.55	25.57	14.51	12.13	16.99	14.21		57.76
2020-05-28	7.22	2.70	4.00	2.54	3.35		19.94	24.28	11.09	12.48	10.92	12.47		62.65
2020-05-30	7.00	2.94	2.91	2.24	2.54		21.41	22.99	12.75	6.50	10.59	10.38		62.11
2020-06-01	8.06	6.91	6.98	5.83	5.21		12.52	24.63	18.97	23.78	15.78	14.95		40.01
2020-06-03	9.74	3.80	7.74	3.74	3.33		23.81	23.62	11.02	14.57	9.50	8.06		59.39
2020-06-05	7.26	6.85	3.65	2.79	3.80		17.71	12.41	11.43	9.10	3.01	4.15		29.63
2020-06-07	6.31	4.40	9.38	3.19	2.83		14.80	7.64	4.75	19.77	2.56	3.11		27.66
2020-06-09	1.87	1.19	3.08	1.19	1.84		7.75	1.75	2.94	1.68	6.97	10.85		16.39
2020-06-11	3.70	2.88	6.45	4.58	5.31	1.53	2.46	10.23	5.75	16.44	12.22	14.99	5.41	7.96
2020-06-13	6.60	4.97	8.12	5.33	7.07	4.40	5.88	10.02	5.36	13.78	7.88	12.87	7.24	5.65
2020-06-16	6.31	1.39	7.93	5.69	6.29	7.42	6.36	4.27	7.78	8.26	3.65	5.24	5.36	2.37
2020-06-18	0.94	2.66	1.99	1.42	2.92	1.55	2.02	2.68	13.38	10.09	6.55	14.31	2.61	7.82
2020-06-20	4.32	6.09	7.37	3.44	6.60	2.56	4.36	8.03	18.85	14.82	10.91	20.00	8.65	2.66
2020-06-22	2.43	5.23	3.85	3.56	4.73	1.47	2.54	5.55	18.36	14.94	12.19	14.54	6.46	13.91
2020-06-24	0.90	1.64	7.37	5.38	1.24	3.13	6.58	3.35	7.20	20.61	17.28	4.10	12.59	35.56
2020-06-26	3.18	2.23	3.28	4.66	1.17	3.77	10.29	7.23	10.52	2.99	17.21	1.63	12.91	41.43
2020-06-28	1.25	8.03	3.12	9.17	6.23	7.87	12.23	0.66	20.76	11.03	23.01	15.49	19.75	44.11
2020-06-30	2.34	6.14	2.71	5.83	1.03	4.75	19.30	3.49	19.42	5.20	19.37	4.39	13.76	49.93
2020-07-02	3.04	5.71	1.85	7.26	1.08	4.77	21.82	4.94	19.64	14.47	23.15	5.77	14.10	57.32
2020-07-03	1.58	3.96	3.04	8.26	3.18	5.70	21.35	3.07	13.49	17.54	25.09	10.95	16.14	56.06
2020-07-07	2.00	1.03	6.85	6.30	1.67	5.81	22.81	5.01	9.92	27.33	27.88	11.99	20.55	50.17
2020-07-10	3.05	2.99	4.66	7.71	3.55	10.20	24.43	1.44	12.19	21.93	29.64	13.59	25.77	53.79
2020-07-14	4.00	6.69	9.56	12.81	7.02	16.80	19.80	8.16	14.84	23.18	33.07	16.38	33.26	54.20
2020-07-17	2.69	6.02	1.77	4.62	1.31	12.37	23.20	4.72	12.84	5.84	17.07	1.50	25.17	53.88
2020-07-21	1.37	6.91	2.04	9.47	4.88	14.59	14.72	2.67	13.29	5.99	18.57	7.53	32.82	38.47
2020-07-24	2.50	3.70	3.07	7.89	4.59	10.97	7.46	3.73	4.27	4.07	10.01	2.72	25.32	23.36
2020-07-28	2.59	1.60	3.39	4.51	2.11	9.64	4.56	1.26	2.74	6.74	10.34	2.76	29.24	3.47
min	0.90	1.03	0.96	1.19	1.03	1.47	2.02	0.66	2.74	1.68	2.46	1.50	2.61	2.37
max	9.74	8.03	9.56	12.81	7.63	16.80	24.43	25.57	20.76	27.33	33.07	20.00	33.26	85.79
mean	4.11	4.15	4.67	5.38	3.68	6.80	13.40	9.03	11.41	12.31	13.93	9.32	16.69	36.77
std	2.52	2.01	2.54	2.65	2.04	4.54	7.75	8.28	5.45	6.95	8.34	5.23	9.73	22.24