Figure 5.

Estimated daily person-miles travelled increase/reduction at the national level and for each state, and the quantified policy effect of stay-at-home orders. In each subfigure, the red curve indicates the model prediction of the daily person-miles travelled increase/reduction assuming with stay-at-home orders; the blue curve indicates the model prediction assuming without stay-at-home orders; policy effect indicates the estimated reduction in the daily number of trips per person that is solely attributed to the effect of stay-at-home orders; the solid vertical line indicates the effective date of the orders.