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. 2021 Feb 5;31(2):152–156. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20200443

Table 1. Number of suicides, excess mortality, and relative difference by sex-age categories.

Age group
​ Month
Male Female


Population
(×10,000)
Observed
number
Prediction number
(95% PI)a
Excess
mortality
Relative
difference (%)
Population
(×10,000)
Observed
number
Prediction number
(95% PI)a
Excess
mortality
Relative
difference (%)
Total                    
 March 6,131 1,133 1,138.7 (1019, 1265) −5.7 −0.5 6,464 480 465.1 (396, 541) 14.9 3.2
 April 6,131 946b 1,072.4 (951, 1199) −126.4 −11.8 6,465 410 445.9 (374, 523) −35.9 −8.0
 May 6,128 976b 1,155.2 (1014, 1309) −179.2 −15.5 6,462 455 464.3 (383, 555) −9.3 −2.0
 June 6,129 962 1,041.6 (903, 1192) −79.6 −7.6 6,464 483 433.9 (353, 524) 49.1 11.3
Under 20 years old                    
 March 1,071 26 26.2 (16, 39) −0.2 −0.6 1,019 22 16.7 (8, 29) 5.3 31.6
 April 1,071 27 37.4 (23, 54) −10.4 −27.9 1,018 15 17.3 (7, 31) −2.3 −13.2
 May 1,069 32 31.4 (18, 49) 0.6 1.9 1,018 13 17.0 (7, 33) −4.0 −23.7
 June 1,067 36 32.3 (18, 52) 3.7 11.5 1,016 26 13.4 (4, 28) 12.6 94.3
20–29 years old                    
 March 652 127 126.1 (98, 157) 0.9 0.7 610 53 52.7 (34, 75) 0.3 0.6
 April 654 115 113.9 (87, 145) 1.1 0.9 612 37 49.7 (31, 73) −12.7 −25.6
 May 654 112 116.5 (86, 153) −4.5 −3.8 613 45 45.5 (26, 71) −0.5 −1.1
 June 655 98 102.9 (74, 138) −4.9 −4.7 613 53 47.4 (27, 75) 5.6 11.9
30–39 years old                    
 March 720 150 143.7 (114, 176) 6.3 4.4 696 49 45.2 (30, 63) 3.8 8.5
 April 720 101b 132.9 (103, 166) −31.9 −24.0 694 35 39.5 (25, 57) −4.5 −11.5
 May 718 144 142.0 (108, 181) 2.0 1.4 692 50 43.5 (27, 65) 6.5 14.9
 June 717 123 118.7 (88, 155) 4.3 3.6 692 48 38.3 (22, 59) 9.7 25.4
40–49 years old                    
 March 932 216 199.3 (163, 239) 16.7 8.4 909 75 68.6 (51, 89) 6.4 9.4
 April 929 135b 187.1 (151, 228) −52.1 −27.8 907 64 63.8 (46, 84) 0.2 0.2
 May 927 166 198.8 (157, 247) −32.8 −16.5 905 58 68.4 (48, 93) −10.4 −15.2
 June 926 155 178.5 (137, 226) −23.5 −13.1 904 75 65.4 (45, 90) 9.6 14.6
50–59 years old                    
 March 821 197 214.7 (181, 251) −17.7 −8.3 817 75 71.6 (54, 92) 3.4 4.8
 April 822 160 188.9 (155, 225) −28.9 −15.3 817 59 66.2 (48, 87) −7.2 −10.8
 May 823 142b 203.3 (164, 247) −61.3 −30.1 819 62 69.3 (49, 93) −7.3 −10.6
 June 825 150 188.2 (150, 232) −38.2 −20.3 820 63 61.3 (42, 85) 1.7 2.8
60–69 years old                    
 March 778 163 169.1 (136, 206) −6.1 −3.6 814 73 60.7 (44, 79) 12.3 20.3
 April 776 152 158.7 (125, 196) −6.7 −4.2 812 67 58.8 (42, 78) 8.2 13.9
 May 775 123b 185.0 (144, 232) −62.0 −33.5 810 69 61.2 (43, 83) 7.8 12.8
 June 774 136 159.5 (120, 205) −23.5 −14.7 809 64 55.1 (37, 76) 8.9 16.1
70–79 years old                    
 March 744 149 154.8 (121, 192) −5.8 −3.7 870 67 84.6 (62, 111) −17.6 −20.8
 April 744 138 150.2 (115, 190) −12.2 −8.1 871 84 88.7 (64, 117) −4.7 −5.3
 May 746 148 164.0 (123, 212) −16.0 −9.8 872 85 94.6 (66, 130) −9.6 −10.2
 June 747 157 151.6 (111, 200) 5.4 3.5 874 83 85.8 (58, 120) −2.8 −3.3
Over 80 years old                    
 March 412 102 94.7 (70, 123) 7.3 7.7 730 63 66.1 (49, 86) −3.1 −4.7
 April 415 112 97.4 (71, 128) 14.6 15.0 732 49 62.9 (45, 83) −13.9 −22.1
 May 416 104 104.7 (74, 142) −0.7 −0.7 733 72 63.0 (44, 86) 9.0 14.2
 June 417 104 102.9 (71, 142) 1.1 1.1 734 71 66.4 (46, 91) 4.6 7.0

PI, prediction interval.

a95% prediction interval based on the 2.5th and 97.5th percentile of simulated distribution.

bObserved number deviated by 95% prediction interval.